Cnfinance Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

CNF Stock  USD 0.99  0.03  3.13%   
This module uses fundamental data of CNFinance Holdings to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. CNFinance Holdings M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out CNFinance Holdings Piotroski F Score and CNFinance Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in CNFinance Stock please use our How to Invest in CNFinance Holdings guide.
  
At this time, CNFinance Holdings' Interest Debt Per Share is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The CNFinance Holdings' current Debt To Assets is estimated to increase to 0.63, while Net Debt is projected to decrease to roughly 5 B. At this time, CNFinance Holdings' Free Cash Flow Yield is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The CNFinance Holdings' current Capex To Depreciation is estimated to increase to 68.58, while Book Value Per Share is projected to decrease to 48.09.
At this time, it appears that CNFinance Holdings is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if CNFinance Holdings' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by CNFinance Holdings executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of CNFinance Holdings' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.45
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.82

Focus
Asset Quality

1.01

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.01

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.06

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.01

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.83

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.28

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.9

Focus

CNFinance Holdings Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if CNFinance Holdings' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables600.8 M572.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.1 B844.6 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Assets16 B16.4 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets1.9 BB
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total15.6 B14.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment28.8 M36.9 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.7 M1.8 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative296.1 M228.5 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Current Liabilities24.4 M25.7 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total12 B18.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net DebtB5.7 B
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Short Term Debt96.3 M101.4 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Long Term Debt6.6 B8.2 B
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Operating Income854.9 M564.5 M
Way Up
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.2 B1.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments139.2 M146.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments608 M452.1 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile

CNFinance Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between CNFinance Holdings' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards CNFinance Holdings in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find CNFinance Holdings' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About CNFinance Holdings Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

266.07 Million

At this time, CNFinance Holdings' Other Operating Expenses is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

CNFinance Holdings Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as CNFinance Holdings. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables66.4M37.6M272.1M282.6M572.2M600.8M
Total Revenue1.8B1.3B622.2M1.1B844.6M1.1B
Total Assets13.3B12.2B14.4B14.5B16.4B16.0B
Total Current Assets2.6B2.5B3.7B16.4T2.0B1.9B
Net Debt4.9B3.6B5.7B5.8B5.7B5.0B
Short Term Debt870.8M508.6M45.3M112.6M101.4M96.3M
Long Term Debt6.7B5.6B8.0B7.7B8.2B6.6B
Operating Income721.0M162.7M93.8M957.4M564.5M854.9M
Investments4.9B236.0M(2.4B)(1.1B)(2.5B)(2.6B)
Gross Profit Margin(97.3K)(132.56)(667.1K)(197.2K)0.670.71

About CNFinance Holdings Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze CNFinance Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of CNFinance Holdings using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of CNFinance Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether CNFinance Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze CNFinance Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CNFinance Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CNFinance Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CNFinance Holdings Piotroski F Score and CNFinance Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in CNFinance Stock please use our How to Invest in CNFinance Holdings guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNFinance Holdings. If investors know CNFinance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CNFinance Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.33)
Earnings Share
0.24
Revenue Per Share
12.22
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
Return On Assets
0.0075
The market value of CNFinance Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNFinance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CNFinance Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CNFinance Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CNFinance Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CNFinance Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CNFinance Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CNFinance Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CNFinance Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.