| FGBI Stock | | | USD 13.40 0.08 0.59% |
This module uses fundamental data of First Guaranty to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. First Guaranty M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out
First Guaranty Piotroski F Score and
First Guaranty Altman Z Score analysis.
As of now, First Guaranty's
Long Term Debt Total is increasing as compared to previous years. The First Guaranty's current
Net Debt To EBITDA is estimated to increase to 2.20, while
Net Debt is projected to decrease to (17.9
M). As of now, First Guaranty's
Net Income Per Share is increasing as compared to previous years. The First Guaranty's current
Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.48, while
Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.29.
At this time, it appears that First Guaranty Bancshares is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if First Guaranty's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by First Guaranty executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of First Guaranty's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.58
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
| Elasticity of Receivables | |
| Financial Leverage Condition | |
First Guaranty Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends
The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if First Guaranty's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
First Guaranty Bancshares Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix
One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical
financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between First Guaranty's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards First Guaranty in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find First Guaranty's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.
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About First Guaranty Beneish M Score
M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled
The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed
financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.
First Guaranty Earnings Manipulation Drivers
Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as First Guaranty. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
First Guaranty ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, First Guaranty's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to First Guaranty's managers, analysts, and investors.
About First Guaranty Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze First Guaranty Bancshares's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of First Guaranty using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at
the intrinsic value of First Guaranty Bancshares based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing
financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our
fundamental analysis page.
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When determining whether First Guaranty Bancshares
offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Guaranty's
financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its
financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Guaranty Bancshares Stock.
Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Guaranty Bancshares Stock: Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost
the valuation of First Guaranty. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth | Dividend Share | Earnings Share | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth |
The market value of First Guaranty Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine
if First Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.