| MAT Stock | | | USD 14.99 -0.40 -2.60% |
Beneish M-Score for Mattel Inc combines eight financial indicators to estimate the likelihood of earnings manipulation. Mattel currently shows an M-Score of -2.86 (Unlikely Manipulator), below the commonly referenced -2.22 threshold, suggesting low probability of earnings manipulation under the model framework.
Mattel Beneish M-Score | | | | -2.86 |
M-Score Threshold for Mattel
Below -2.22: unlikely earnings manipulation
Above -2.22: possible earnings manipulation
M-Score Context for Mattel
For Mattel, the M-Score isolates patterns in receivables, margins, accruals, and leverage that historically correlate with earnings manipulation. Tracking these signals across periods helps surface reporting anomalies before they reach headline metrics or audit findings.
Mattel's M-Score of -2.86 falls below the commonly referenced -2.22 threshold, indicating a low probability of earnings distortion under the model framework. The result is supported by stable relationships across key accounting drivers. Receivables growth remains broadly aligned with revenue expansion, reducing concern around aggressive revenue recognition.
Margin expansion appears consistent rather than abrupt, and depreciation rates remain stable, without signs of cost deferral or unusual capitalization patterns. Accrual-based measures are moderate relative to operating cash flow, suggesting reported earnings are supported by underlying cash generation. Asset quality and leverage trends remain stable, without signs of balance sheet inflation.
Taken together, the component signals indicate internally consistent financial reporting, with no single factor disproportionately driving the model output. While the Beneish M-Score is not definitive on its own, Mattel's current profile aligns closely with its reported operating performance. The score is primarily supported by stable accrual behavior and aligned revenue-receivable trends, with no evidence of distortion in margin or asset quality components.
The table below shows the most recent reported values and year-over-year changes for the financial data points underlying Mattel's M-Score calculation. Directional shifts in these inputs drive changes in the composite score across reporting periods.
The correlation matrix below shows how Mattel's key M-Score input variables relate to each other. Strong correlations between accounting drivers can help identify whether reported results are internally consistent or exhibit structural dependencies that warrant further analysis.
Professor Beneish introduced the M-Score in 1999 as a tool for finding the odds of earnings tricks. By studying changes rather than fixed levels, the model captures the dynamic patterns most tied to tricks. Firms with falling gross margins, rising costs, and growing leverage while reporting higher revenue deserve scrutiny.
Mattel's composite M-Score synthesizes revenue recognition, expense coverage, and cash-flow quality into a manipulation probability estimate. Scores below -2.22 indicate unlikely manipulation, while scores above -2.22 flag possible earnings manipulation warranting further review. For earnings quality analysis, Mattel shows revenue of 5.35 billion, gross profit of 2.59 billion, operating cash flow of 593.25 million.
Mattel Inc values are built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with reporting definitions aligned before display. Analyst inputs may be included when coverage is available.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by:
Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board