Mattel Valuation

MAT Stock  USD 20.34  0.27  1.31%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Mattel Inc secures a last-minute Real Value of $22.23 per share. The latest price of the firm is $20.34. Our model forecasts the value of Mattel Inc from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.08 %, return on equity of 0.19, and Current Valuation of 8.39 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Mattel's valuation include:
Price Book
2.833
Enterprise Value
8.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
10.0501
Price Sales
1.2469
Forward PE
12.2699
Undervalued
Today
20.34
Please note that Mattel's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Mattel Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Mattel's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Mattel's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 20.34, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  20.34 Real  22.23 Target  24.0 Hype  20.77 Naive  19.57
The intrinsic value of Mattel's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Mattel's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
22.23
Real Value
24.26
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Mattel Inc helps investors to forecast how Mattel stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Mattel more accurately as focusing exclusively on Mattel's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.390.440.47
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7420.7722.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.5419.5721.60
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
21.8424.0026.64
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Mattel's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Mattel's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Mattel's closest peers.

Mattel Cash

1.68 Billion

Mattel Total Value Analysis

Mattel Inc is now forecasted to have company total value of 8.39 B with market capitalization of 6.52 B, debt of 2.69 B, and cash on hands of 349 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Mattel fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
8.39 B
6.52 B
2.69 B
349 M

Mattel Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Mattel was now reported as 7.27. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.43. Mattel Inc last dividend was issued on the 21st of August 2017. The entity had 5:4 split on the 4th of March 1996. Mattel Inc may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.

Mattel Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Mattel has an asset utilization ratio of 82.2 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.82 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Mattel Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Mattel Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Mattel's profitability measurements, Mattel's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Mattel's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
53.4 M
Current Value
278.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
163.2 M
 
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Net Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.1 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 2.3 B in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.540.58
Significantly Down
Very volatile
For Mattel profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Mattel Inc to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Mattel utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Mattel's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Mattel over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Mattel Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Mattel is estimated to be 0.438425 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.3875 to a high of 0.465. Mattel's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.32. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Mattel Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Mattel is projected to generate 0.438425 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Mattel earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Mattel EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Mattel's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Mattel, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Mattel Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Mattel's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Mattel is estimated to be 0.438425 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.3875 to a high of 0.465. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Mattel Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.39
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.438425
0.47
Highest

Mattel Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Mattel's value are higher than the current market price of the Mattel stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Mattel is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Mattel's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1456.07%
0.0
0.438425
1.32

Mattel Ownership Allocation

The majority of Mattel outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Mattel Inc to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Mattel Inc. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Mattel as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on October 24, 2020, Representative Susie Lee of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Mattel Inc's common stock.

Mattel Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.38 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 541.82 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.64 B.

About Mattel Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Mattel's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Mattel Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Mattel. We calculate exposure to Mattel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Mattel's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit3.1 B2.3 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.14  0.09 
Operating Profit Margin 0.15  0.12 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.58  0.54 

Mattel Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Mattel does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding343.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.193
Forward Price Earnings12.2699

Mattel Current Valuation Indicators

Mattel's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Mattel's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Mattel, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Mattel's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Mattel's worth.

Additional Tools for Mattel Stock Analysis

When running Mattel's price analysis, check to measure Mattel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mattel is operating at the current time. Most of Mattel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mattel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mattel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mattel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.