Mattel Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MAT Stock | USD 20.04 0.20 1.01% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mattel Inc is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mattel Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mattel Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.Check out Mattel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mattel and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Mattel Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Execute Mattel Buy or Sell Advice
The Mattel recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mattel Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mattel Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mattel's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Mild | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Mattel Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investors.com: Mattel Sees RS Rating Improve To 72 |
Mattel Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mattel's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mattel's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mattel daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mattel Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mattel returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mattel.
| Mean Return | 0.29 | Value At Risk | -3.4 | Potential Upside | 4.37 | Standard Deviation | 2.21 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mattel historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mattel Stock Institutional Investors
The Mattel's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Mattel's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 7.2 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 6 M | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 5.8 M | Lsv Asset Management | 2025-06-30 | 5.7 M | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2025-06-30 | 5.6 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 4.8 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 3.8 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 3.7 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 2.9 M | Edgepoint Investment Group, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 40.8 M | Primecap Management Company | 2025-06-30 | 33.2 M |
Mattel Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (330.9M) | (203.5M) | 261.3M | (24.5M) | (22.1M) | (23.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | (30.8M) | 29.9M | 500.1M | 126.5M | 145.5M | 152.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 334.1M | 256.3M | 709.5M | 597.9M | 687.6M | 362.7M | |
| Depreciation | 231.7M | 182.2M | 177.3M | 245.9M | 282.8M | 203.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 63.8M | 145.3M | 96.7M | 27.0M | 31.0M | 29.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 151.4M | 186.5M | 160.3M | 202.6M | 233.0M | 208.4M | |
| Net Income | 903.0M | 393.9M | 214.4M | 541.8M | 623.1M | 323.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 731.4M | 761.2M | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.6B | 855.4M | |
| Investments | (105M) | (144M) | (140.6M) | (189.0M) | (170.1M) | (161.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 148.9M | 113.4M | (602.3M) | 214.8M | 193.3M | 203.0M |
Mattel Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mattel or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mattel's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mattel stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Mattel Volatility Alert
Mattel Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mattel's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mattel's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mattel Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mattel's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mattel's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mattel and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mattel or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mattel's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mattel by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mattel to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mattel | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.19 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0581 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.22 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.15 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 310.8 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.78 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.22 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 13.91 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 28.47 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.73 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.24 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 5.38 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.64 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 987.23 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 541.82 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 349 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.98 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.69 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.45 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.96 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.27 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 800.57 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.53 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.32 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.34 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 23.92 | |
| Number Of Employees | 34 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.71 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.46 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.54 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.6 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.81 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Lynch Roger of 6843 shares of Mattel subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Mattel Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mattel . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Mattel Target Price Consensus
Mattel target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Mattel's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 14 | Strong Buy |
Most Mattel analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Mattel stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Mattel Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationMattel Target Price Projection
Mattel's current and average target prices are 20.04 and 23.92, respectively. The current price of Mattel is the price at which Mattel Inc is currently trading. On the other hand, Mattel's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Mattel Target Price
Mattel Analyst Ratings
Mattel's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Mattel stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Mattel's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Mattel's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Mattel Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Mattel Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Mattel Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Mattel Stock Analysis
When running Mattel's price analysis, check to measure Mattel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mattel is operating at the current time. Most of Mattel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mattel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mattel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mattel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.