Mattel Inc Stock Performance

MAT Stock  USD 20.89  0.12  0.58%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Mattel holds a performance score of 8. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.48, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mattel will likely underperform. Please check Mattel's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Mattel's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mattel Inc are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Mattel unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.58
Five Day Return
0.48
Year To Date Return
4.24
Ten Year Return
(21.94)
All Time Return
885.38
Last Split Factor
5:4
Dividend Date
2017-09-15
Ex Dividend Date
2017-08-21
Last Split Date
1996-03-04
1
Trump cancel meetings with Iranian officials and tells protesters help is on its way
01/13/2026
2
Autistic Barbie Doesnt Represent Me. She Shouldnt Have to
01/15/2026
3
Mattel Valuation Check After Recent Interest In Its Toy And Entertainment Portfolio
01/16/2026
4
NYT Games Expands Its Puzzle Empire With Scrabble-Like Crossplay
01/21/2026
5
Masters of the Universe trailer He-Man movie is Thor meets Guardians of the Galaxy
01/22/2026
6
Amazons Masters of the Universe trailer makes me feel like a kid again heres what the teaser got right
01/23/2026
7
Israeli creators expand their presence in Hollywood
01/26/2026
8
Mattel has a KPop Demon Hunters doll plan
01/27/2026
9
Not Just Ken Mattel shares Barbies longtime boyfriends full name
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-189 M

Mattel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,844  in Mattel Inc on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  245.00  from holding Mattel Inc or generate 13.29% return on investment over 90 days. Mattel Inc is generating 0.2251% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.0376% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Mattel, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Mattel is expected to generate 2.73 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Mattel Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mattel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.89 90 days 20.89 
about 22.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mattel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.44 (This Mattel Inc probability density function shows the probability of Mattel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.48 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mattel will likely underperform. Additionally Mattel Inc has an alpha of 0.1142, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mattel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mattel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mattel Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7720.8122.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2322.2724.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.6419.6721.71
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.8424.0026.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mattel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mattel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mattel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mattel Inc.

Mattel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mattel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mattel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mattel Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mattel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.48
σ
Overall volatility
0.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Mattel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mattel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mattel Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from aol.com: Not Just Ken Mattel shares Barbies longtime boyfriends full name

Mattel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mattel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mattel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mattel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding343.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B

Mattel Fundamentals Growth

Mattel Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mattel, and Mattel fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mattel Stock performance.

About Mattel Performance

Assessing Mattel's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Mattel's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Mattel is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 79.61  79.33 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.13  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.21 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.28  0.29 

Things to note about Mattel Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mattel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mattel Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from aol.com: Not Just Ken Mattel shares Barbies longtime boyfriends full name
Evaluating Mattel's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mattel's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Mattel's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mattel's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mattel's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mattel's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mattel's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mattel's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mattel's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mattel's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mattel's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Mattel Stock Analysis

When running Mattel's price analysis, check to measure Mattel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mattel is operating at the current time. Most of Mattel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mattel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mattel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mattel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.