Origin Materials Stock Beneish M Score

ORGN Stock  USD 1.24  0.05  4.20%   
This module uses fundamental data of Origin Materials to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Origin Materials M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Origin Materials Piotroski F Score and Origin Materials Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Origin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Origin Materials guide.
  
As of the 25th of November 2024, Long Term Debt Total is likely to grow to about 68.1 M, while Long Term Debt is likely to drop about 3.3 M. At this time, Origin Materials' Current Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Graham Number is likely to grow to 6.18, while PTB Ratio is likely to drop 0.26.
At this time, it appears that Origin Materials is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Origin Materials' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Origin Materials executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Origin Materials' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.58
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.85

Focus
Asset Quality

0.82

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.94

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.88

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.94

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.12

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.01

Focus

Origin Materials Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Origin Materials' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables18.6 M19.6 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets433.6 M461.8 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Total Current Assets166 M187.1 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total288.5 M274.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment186.2 M177.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization4.2 MM
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative37.2 M35.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities12.2 M12.9 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total25.1 M26.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt2.3 M2.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt3.3 M3.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments100.7 M82.8 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments353.7 M652.2 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin0.140.16
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

Origin Materials Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Origin Materials' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Origin Materials in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Origin Materials' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Origin Materials Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

4.18 Million

At this time, Origin Materials' Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

About Origin Materials Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Origin Materials's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Origin Materials using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Materials based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
When determining whether Origin Materials offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Origin Materials' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Origin Materials Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Origin Materials Stock:
Check out Origin Materials Piotroski F Score and Origin Materials Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Origin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Origin Materials guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Materials. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Materials listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.667
Earnings Share
(0.57)
Revenue Per Share
0.241
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.02
Return On Assets
(0.09)
The market value of Origin Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Materials' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Materials' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Materials' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Materials' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Materials' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Materials is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Materials' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.