Origin Materials Valuation

ORGN Stock  USD 0.15  0.01  6.25%   
Origin Materials seems to be undervalued based on Macroaxis valuation methodology. Our model determines the value of Origin Materials from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of (3.59) %, shares outstanding of 155.22 M, and Return On Equity of -0.21 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Origin Materials' valuation include:
Price Book
0.0811
Enterprise Value
-24.7 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
2.4387
Price Sales
0.9496
Enterprise Value Revenue
0.4991
Undervalued
Today
0.15
Please note that Origin Materials' price fluctuation is out of control at this time. Calculation of the real value of Origin Materials is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Origin Materials' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Origin Materials is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Origin Stock. However, Origin Materials' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.15 Real  0.24 Target  0.5 Hype  0.18
The intrinsic value of Origin Materials' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Origin Materials' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
0.24
Real Value
5.85
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Origin Materials helps investors to forecast how Origin stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Origin Materials more accurately as focusing exclusively on Origin Materials' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.08-0.08-0.08
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.185.79
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
0.460.500.56
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Origin Materials' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Origin Materials' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Origin Materials' closest peers.

Origin Materials Cash

67.99 Million

Origin Materials Total Value Analysis

Origin Materials is now forecasted to have valuation of (24.75 M) with market capitalization of 23.86 M, debt of 9.68 M, and cash on hands of 406.14 M. The negative valuation of Origin Materials may imply that the market is not capable to price the future growth of the company or it is pricing it at zero value. It may also suggest that takeover valuation may not have captured all of the outstanding financial obligations of the company both on and off balance sheet. Investors should vigilantly validate all of the Origin Materials fundamentals.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
(24.75 M)
23.86 M
9.68 M
406.14 M

Origin Materials Investor Information

About 13.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.08. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Origin Materials recorded a loss per share of 0.47. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2020. Based on the key indicators related to Origin Materials' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Origin Materials is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high odds of going through financial crisis in March.

Origin Materials Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Origin Materials has an asset utilization ratio of 8.28 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.0828 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Origin Materials is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Origin Materials Profitability Analysis

Based on Origin Materials' profitability indicators, Origin Materials may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high odds of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Origin Materials' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2003-12-31
Previous Quarter
-12.7 M
Current Value
-16.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
17.6 M
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of the 16th of February 2026, Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 357.4 K. In addition to that, Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to -2.9
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.01460.0154
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
For Origin Materials profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Origin Materials to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Origin Materials utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Origin Materials's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Origin Materials over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Origin Materials Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Origin Materials' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Origin Materials' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Origin Materials is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Origin Materials is projected to generate -0.0775 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Origin Materials earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Origin Materials EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Origin Materials' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Origin Materials, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Origin Materials Ownership Allocation

Origin Materials owns a total of 155.22 Million outstanding shares. Origin Materials holds 3.59 pct. of its outstanding shares held by insiders and 13.29 pct. owned by third-party entities. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Origin Materials Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 31.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (83.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 464 K.

About Origin Materials Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Materials. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Origin Materials based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Origin Materials's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Origin Materials's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Origin Materials. We calculate exposure to Origin Materials's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Origin Materials's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit376.2 K357.4 K
Pretax Profit Margin(3.05)(2.90)
Operating Profit Margin(3.12)(3.28)
Net Loss(3.08)(2.92)
Gross Profit Margin 0.02  0.01 

Origin Materials Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding143.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2.667

Origin Materials Current Valuation Indicators

Origin Materials' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Origin Materials' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Origin Materials, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Origin Materials' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Origin Materials' worth.
When determining whether Origin Materials offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Origin Materials' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Origin Materials Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Origin Materials Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Materials. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
To learn how to invest in Origin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Origin Materials guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Will Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector continue expanding? Could Origin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Materials. Anticipated expansion of Origin directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Origin Materials data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.667
Earnings Share
(0.47)
Revenue Per Share
0.171
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.43)
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Investors evaluate Origin Materials using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Origin Materials' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Origin Materials' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Origin Materials' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Origin Materials should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Origin Materials' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.