Target Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

TGT Stock

USD 130.09 3.54 2.80%

Target's likelihood of distress is under 10% at this time. It has tiny risk of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Target's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Target balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Target Piotroski F Score and Target Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Target Stock please use our How to Invest in Target guide.

Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 46.3 B in 2024, whereas Market Cap is likely to drop slightly above 38.6 B in 2024.

Target Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Target's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Target Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 10%

Most of Target's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Target is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Target probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Target odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Target financial health.

Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Target. If investors know Target will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Target listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.428

Earnings Share

9.43

Revenue Per Share

232.226

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.027

Return On Assets

0.0723

The market value of Target is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Target that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Target's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Target's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Target's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Target's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Target's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Target is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Target's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Target Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Target is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Target Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Target's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Target's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Target's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Accounts Payable	Common Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Short Term Investments	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Accumulated Depreciation	Property Plant Equipment	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.82	0.76	0.48	0.12	0.98	0.92	0.33	0.84	-0.79	0.19	0.26	0.13	0.08	-0.19	0.31	0.46	0.55	0.51	-0.51	0.54	0.02	0.38	0.42	0.19	0.02	-0.19
Total Stockholder Equity	0.82		0.7	0.88	0.27	0.69	0.7	0.51	0.43	-0.41	0.23	-0.18	-0.01	0.01	0.23	0.12	0.25	0.09	0.2	-0.05	0.31	-0.08	0.01	0.02	0.07	0.2	0.1
Net Debt	0.76	0.7		0.53	0.39	0.71	0.53	0.46	0.42	-0.45	-0.22	0.02	0.29	-0.38	-0.1	0.54	0.6	0.22	0.58	-0.11	0.57	0.29	0.16	0.15	-0.05	-0.37	-0.21
Retained Earnings	0.48	0.88	0.53		0.46	0.3	0.4	0.59	0.01	0.05	0.16	-0.46	-0.13	-0.1	0.58	0.13	0.18	-0.36	0.03	0.33	0.19	-0.03	-0.17	-0.2	-0.05	0.29	0.2
Net Receivables	0.12	0.27	0.39	0.46		0.05	0.14	0.71	-0.14	0.25	-0.2	-0.31	-0.08	-0.27	0.35	0.33	0.22	-0.43	0.08	0.38	0.15	0.11	-0.08	-0.11	-0.11	0.04	0.04
Total Liab	0.98	0.69	0.71	0.3	0.05		0.92	0.23	0.92	-0.86	0.16	0.4	0.17	0.1	-0.32	0.35	0.49	0.67	0.58	-0.63	0.58	0.06	0.48	0.52	0.22	-0.05	-0.28
Total Current Assets	0.92	0.7	0.53	0.4	0.14	0.92		0.3	0.86	-0.73	0.29	0.29	-0.02	0.26	-0.14	0.34	0.42	0.51	0.43	-0.58	0.48	-0.01	0.49	0.52	0.21	0.23	-0.24
Short Term Debt	0.33	0.51	0.46	0.59	0.71	0.23	0.3		-0.04	0.04	-0.15	-0.34	-0.27	-0.04	0.23	0.22	0.19	-0.22	0.04	0.24	0.23	0.13	0.0	-0.06	0.25	0.11	0.06
Accounts Payable	0.84	0.43	0.42	0.01	-0.14	0.92	0.86	-0.04		-0.91	0.24	0.61	0.14	0.19	-0.43	0.21	0.33	0.79	0.51	-0.82	0.48	-0.05	0.55	0.64	0.25	-0.01	-0.33
Common Stock	-0.79	-0.41	-0.45	0.05	0.25	-0.86	-0.73	0.04	-0.91		-0.17	-0.62	-0.25	-0.12	0.63	-0.02	-0.14	-0.85	-0.31	0.83	-0.27	0.11	-0.39	-0.46	-0.22	0.17	0.25
Current Deferred Revenue	0.19	0.23	-0.22	0.16	-0.2	0.16	0.29	-0.15	0.24	-0.17		0.14	0.15	0.61	0.12	-0.34	-0.17	0.14	-0.07	-0.25	-0.07	-0.24	0.14	0.18	0.25	0.38	0.09
Good Will	0.26	-0.18	0.02	-0.46	-0.31	0.4	0.29	-0.34	0.61	-0.62	0.14		0.05	0.22	-0.73	0.04	0.18	0.81	0.33	-0.86	0.35	0.15	0.66	0.73	0.48	-0.4	-0.65
Intangible Assets	0.13	-0.01	0.29	-0.13	-0.08	0.17	-0.02	-0.27	0.14	-0.25	0.15	0.05		-0.31	-0.06	0.1	0.03	0.07	0.16	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	-0.15	-0.12	-0.51	-0.27	0.13
Short Term Investments	0.08	0.01	-0.38	-0.1	-0.27	0.1	0.26	-0.04	0.19	-0.12	0.61	0.22	-0.31		-0.13	-0.26	-0.05	0.3	-0.08	-0.32	0.02	0.01	0.38	0.28	0.59	0.42	-0.07
Net Tangible Assets	-0.19	0.23	-0.1	0.58	0.35	-0.32	-0.14	0.23	-0.43	0.63	0.12	-0.73	-0.06	-0.13		-0.01	-0.12	-0.85	-0.24	0.73	-0.14	-0.29	-0.48	-0.51	-0.33	0.55	0.57
Long Term Debt	0.31	0.12	0.54	0.13	0.33	0.35	0.34	0.22	0.21	-0.02	-0.34	0.04	0.1	-0.26	-0.01		0.89	0.05	0.76	-0.1	0.76	0.72	0.56	0.47	-0.17	-0.17	-0.58
Long Term Debt Total	0.46	0.25	0.6	0.18	0.22	0.49	0.42	0.19	0.33	-0.14	-0.17	0.18	0.03	-0.05	-0.12	0.89		0.28	0.92	-0.19	0.92	0.75	0.7	0.64	0.11	-0.22	-0.67
Capital Surpluse	0.55	0.09	0.22	-0.36	-0.43	0.67	0.51	-0.22	0.79	-0.85	0.14	0.81	0.07	0.3	-0.85	0.05	0.28		0.45	-0.91	0.4	0.17	0.65	0.72	0.45	-0.32	-0.56
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.51	0.2	0.58	0.03	0.08	0.58	0.43	0.04	0.51	-0.31	-0.07	0.33	0.16	-0.08	-0.24	0.76	0.92	0.45		-0.36	0.93	0.67	0.71	0.69	0.16	-0.35	-0.66
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.51	-0.05	-0.11	0.33	0.38	-0.63	-0.58	0.24	-0.82	0.83	-0.25	-0.86	-0.09	-0.32	0.73	-0.1	-0.19	-0.91	-0.36		-0.36	-0.14	-0.71	-0.75	-0.37	0.17	0.6
Property Plant Equipment	0.54	0.31	0.57	0.19	0.15	0.58	0.48	0.23	0.48	-0.27	-0.07	0.35	-0.01	0.02	-0.14	0.76	0.92	0.4	0.93	-0.36		0.67	0.79	0.75	0.31	-0.22	-0.7
Cash And Equivalents	0.02	-0.08	0.29	-0.03	0.11	0.06	-0.01	0.13	-0.05	0.11	-0.24	0.15	-0.07	0.01	-0.29	0.72	0.75	0.17	0.67	-0.14	0.67		0.66	0.51	0.14	-0.39	-0.8
Net Invested Capital	0.38	0.01	0.16	-0.17	-0.08	0.48	0.49	0.0	0.55	-0.39	0.14	0.66	-0.15	0.38	-0.48	0.56	0.7	0.65	0.71	-0.71	0.79	0.66		0.95	0.45	-0.11	-0.89
Long Term Investments	0.42	0.02	0.15	-0.2	-0.11	0.52	0.52	-0.06	0.64	-0.46	0.18	0.73	-0.12	0.28	-0.51	0.47	0.64	0.72	0.69	-0.75	0.75	0.51	0.95		0.44	-0.14	-0.86
Short Long Term Debt	0.19	0.07	-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.22	0.21	0.25	0.25	-0.22	0.25	0.48	-0.51	0.59	-0.33	-0.17	0.11	0.45	0.16	-0.37	0.31	0.14	0.45	0.44		-0.2	-0.33
Net Working Capital	0.02	0.2	-0.37	0.29	0.04	-0.05	0.23	0.11	-0.01	0.17	0.38	-0.4	-0.27	0.42	0.55	-0.17	-0.22	-0.32	-0.35	0.17	-0.22	-0.39	-0.11	-0.14	-0.2		0.42
Capital Stock	-0.19	0.1	-0.21	0.2	0.04	-0.28	-0.24	0.06	-0.33	0.25	0.09	-0.65	0.13	-0.07	0.57	-0.58	-0.67	-0.56	-0.66	0.6	-0.7	-0.8	-0.89	-0.86	-0.33	0.42

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Target

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Target has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 10.0%. This is 72.36% lower than that of the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector and 51.74% lower than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 74.89% higher than that of the company.

Target Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Target's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Target could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Target by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Target is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Target Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Net Debt	11.2B	6.4B	10.3B	16.5B	15.8B	9.4B
Total Current Liabilities	14.5B	20.1B	21.7B	19.5B	19.3B	9.9B
Non Current Liabilities Total	16.5B	16.7B	19.2B	22.6B	22.6B	12.1B
Total Assets	42.8B	51.2B	53.8B	53.3B	55.4B	32.0B
Total Current Assets	12.9B	20.8B	21.6B	17.8B	17.5B	11.9B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	7.1B	10.5B	8.6B	4.0B	8.6B	4.4B

Target ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Target's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Target's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Target Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.34
	Return On Asset	0.0723
	Profit Margin	0.04 %
	Operating Margin	0.07 %
	Current Valuation	75.57 B
	Shares Outstanding	458.21 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.23 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	85.00 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	13.98 M
	Price To Earning	22.82 X
	Price To Book	4.01 X
	Price To Sales	0.56 X
	Revenue	107.41 B
	Gross Profit	26.89 B
	EBITDA	8.62 B
	Net Income	4.14 B
	Cash And Equivalents	2.23 B
	Cash Per Share	2.19 X
	Total Debt	19.65 B
	Debt To Equity	1.77 %
	Current Ratio	0.86 X
	Book Value Per Share	29.09 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	8.62 B
	Short Ratio	4.25 X
	Earnings Per Share	9.43 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.61 X
	Target Price	142.0
	Number Of Employees	415 K
	Beta	1.24
	Market Capitalization	59.61 B
	Total Asset	55.36 B
	Retained Earnings	7.09 B
	Working Capital	(1.81 B)
	Current Asset	9.65 B
	Current Liabilities	7.05 B
	Annual Yield	0.03 %
	Five Year Return	2.35 %
	Net Asset	55.36 B

About Target Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Target's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Target using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Target based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Target Stock Analysis

When running Target's price analysis, check to measure Target's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Target is operating at the current time. Most of Target's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Target's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Target's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Target to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Target Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Target Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Target Probability Of Bankruptcy

Target Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Target Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Target Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Target ESG Sustainability

Target Fundamentals

About Target Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Target Stock Analysis

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