Target Stock Performance

TGT Stock  USD 115.55  4.70  4.24%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Target holds a performance score of 17. The entity has a beta of 1.05, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Target returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Target is expected to follow. Please check Target's total risk alpha, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the Downside Variance and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Target's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Target are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak technical and fundamental indicators, Target unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.24
Five Day Return
12.36
Year To Date Return
14.96
Ten Year Return
65.07
All Time Return
15.7 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0395
Payout Ratio
0.6021
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
4.56
Dividend Date
2026-03-01
 
Target dividend paid on 1st of December 2025
12/01/2025
1
Target Immigration Incident Tests Leadership, Community Relations And Investor Confidence
01/23/2026
2
Discount Retail Stocks Are Soaring This Year. Should You Invest
01/27/2026
3
Wolfe Research Upgrades Target Ahead of March Investor Day
01/29/2026
4
Walmarts 611 Billion Annual Revenue Breaking Down 1.7 Billion Per Day
01/30/2026
5
Crippled Target Promotes Someone Who Helped Break It
02/02/2026
6
Target CEO Shift And Beauty Overhaul Signal Merchandising Reset For Investors
02/03/2026
7
Targets new CEO admits retailer has lost trust with shoppers, staff report
02/04/2026
8
Amazon learns a tough lesson in a market bailing on tech. Why we must be patient
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow3.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.9 B

Target Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,959  in Target on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,596  from holding Target or generate 28.98% return on investment over 90 days. Target is generating 0.437% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.966% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Target, and above 92% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Target is expected to generate 2.4 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Target Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Target Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 115.55 90 days 115.55 
about 1.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Target to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.72 (This Target probability density function shows the probability of Target Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This usually implies Target market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Target is expected to follow. Additionally Target has an alpha of 0.3002, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Target Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Target

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Target. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.74116.71118.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
112.08114.05116.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
112.50114.47116.44
Details
37 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
91.74100.81111.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Target. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Target's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Target's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Target.

Target Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Target is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Target's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Target, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Target within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.05
σ
Overall volatility
8.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Target Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Target for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Target can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Target has 19.88 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.77, which is OK given its current industry classification. Target has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Target to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 84.0% of Target shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Amazon learns a tough lesson in a market bailing on tech. Why we must be patient

Target Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Target Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Target's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Target's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding461.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.8 B

Target Fundamentals Growth

Target Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Target, and Target fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Target Stock performance.

About Target Performance

Assessing Target's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Target's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Target is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 55.74  68.87 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.16  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.31  0.32 

Things to note about Target performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Target for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Target help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Target has 19.88 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.77, which is OK given its current industry classification. Target has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Target to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 84.0% of Target shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Amazon learns a tough lesson in a market bailing on tech. Why we must be patient
Evaluating Target's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Target's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Target's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Target's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Target's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Target's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Target's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Target's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Target's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Target's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Target's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Target Stock Analysis

When running Target's price analysis, check to measure Target's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Target is operating at the current time. Most of Target's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Target's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Target's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Target to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.