Target Profitability Analysis

TGT Stock  USD 111.28  0.15  0.13%   
Based on Target's profitability indicators, Target's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average risk of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Target's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-10-31
Previous Quarter
935 M
Current Value
689 M
Quarterly Volatility
485.4 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 0.48 in 2026. Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop to 4.53 in 2026. At this time, Target's Interest Income is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Change To Netincome is likely to gain to about 1.2 B in 2026, whereas Income Before Tax is likely to drop slightly above 3.2 B in 2026. At this time, Target's Gross Profit is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Gross Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.31 in 2026, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.04 in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.310.2538
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.02680.0385
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.05220.0541
Sufficiently Down
Pretty Stable
Pretax Profit Margin0.04210.0493
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.04640.0748
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.320.3081
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
For Target profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Target to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Target utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Target's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Target over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Target's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

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For more information on how to buy Target Stock please use our How to Invest in Target guide.The next projected EPS of Target is estimated to be 2.25 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.75 to a high of 1.97. Target's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 8.25. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Target is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
Target is projected to generate 2.25 in earnings per share on the 31st of January 2026. Target earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Target EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Target's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Target, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Target Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Target's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Target's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Target. If investors know Target will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Target listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.18)
Dividend Share
4.5
Earnings Share
8.25
Revenue Per Share
231.301
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Target is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Target that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Target's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Target's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Target's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Target's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Target's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Target is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Target's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Target Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Target's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Target value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Target is currently regarded as top stock in return on equity category among its peers. It also is currently regarded as top stock in return on asset category among its peers reporting about  0.21  of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. The ratio of Return On Equity to Return On Asset for Target is roughly  4.79 . At this time, Target's Return On Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Target by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Target Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity

Return on Equity or ROE tells company stockholders how effectually their money is being utilized or reinvested. It is a useful ratio when analyzing company profitability or the management effectiveness given the capital invested by the shareholders. ROE shows how efficiently a company utilizes investments to generate income.

Target

Return On Equity

 = 

Net Income

Total Equity

 = 
0.25
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
Return on Asset or ROA shows how effective is the management of the company in generating income from utilizing all of the assets at their disposal. It is a useful ratio to evaluate the performance of different departments of a company as well as to understand management performance over time.

Target

Return On Asset

 = 

Net Income

Total Assets

 = 
0.0524
Return on Asset measures overall efficiency of a company in generating profits from its total assets. It is expressed as the percentage of profits earned per dollar of Asset. A low ROA typically means that a company is asset-intensive and therefore will needs more money to continue generating revenue in the future.

Target Return On Asset Comparison

Target is currently under evaluation in return on asset category among its peers.

Target Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Target, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Target will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Target's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Target, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-526.7 M-553 M
Operating Income6.5 B3.7 B
Income Before Tax6.1 B3.2 B
Total Other Income Expense Net-335.7 M-352.5 M
Net Income4.7 B2.4 B
Income Tax Expense1.3 B988.1 M
Net Income From Continuing Ops4.7 B3.8 B
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares4.7 B3.5 B
Non Operating Income Net Other43.2 M41 M
Interest Income369.9 M382.6 M
Net Interest Income-472.6 M-496.3 M
Change To Netincome1.1 B1.2 B
Net Income Per Share 8.97  9.41 
Income Quality 2.08  2.20 
Net Income Per E B T 0.78  0.50 

Target Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Target. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Target position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Target's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Target Profitability Trends

Target profitability trend refers to the progression of profit or loss within a business. An upward trend means that Target's profit has generally increased over time, and a downward profitability trend means profits are declining. Recognizing problems early in profitability trends allows investors to address revenue and cost issues in advance. Investors and analysts usually monitor three types of profitability trends: gross, operating, and net. Gross profit is the difference between revenue and costs of goods sold. Operating profit is Target's gross profit minus its overhead. After you account for other unusual revenue, expenses, and costs, you get net profit. Gross profit trends are often a good indicator of future profitability. If you have high gross profit margins, you have a better chance to cover overhead and make money.

Target Profitability Drivers Correlations

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize and read into endless financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties. Understanding the correlation between Target different financial indicators related to revenue and profit generation helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Target in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between profit drivers that are directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to break down Target's future profitability.

Target Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Target's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Target is estimated to be 2.25 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.75 to a high of 1.97. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Target is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.78
1.75
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.25
1.97
Highest

Target Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Target's value are higher than the current market price of the Target stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Target is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Target's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of January 2026Current EPS (TTM)
3876.48%
1.78
2.25
8.25

Target Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Target analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Target's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Target's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Target Quarterly Gross Profit

7.13 Billion

At this time, Target's Retained Earnings Total Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Earnings Yield is likely to gain to 0.07 in 2026, whereas Retained Earnings are likely to drop slightly above 7.6 B in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 647.1 M in 2026, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop slightly above 3.5 B in 2026.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.43111.24113.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.74111.55113.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
114.93116.74118.56
Details
37 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
90.9499.94110.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Target. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Target's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Target's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Target. Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Target assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Target. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Target's stock price in the short term.

Target Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Target refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Target predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Target, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Target Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Target, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Target should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Target Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Target's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-11-19
2025-10-311.711.780.07
2025-08-20
2025-07-312.042.050.01
2025-05-21
2025-04-301.651.3-0.3521 
2025-03-04
2025-01-312.252.410.16
2024-11-20
2024-10-312.31.85-0.4519 
2024-08-21
2024-07-312.182.570.3917 
2024-05-22
2024-04-302.052.03-0.02
2024-03-05
2024-01-312.412.980.5723 
2023-11-15
2023-10-311.482.10.6241 
2023-08-16
2023-07-311.421.80.3826 
2023-05-17
2023-04-301.792.050.2614 
2023-02-28
2023-01-311.41.890.4935 
2022-11-16
2022-10-312.181.54-0.6429 
2022-08-17
2022-07-310.720.39-0.3345 
2022-05-18
2022-04-303.062.19-0.8728 
2022-03-01
2022-01-312.843.190.3512 
2021-11-17
2021-10-312.813.030.22
2021-08-18
2021-07-313.533.640.11
2021-05-19
2021-04-302.233.691.4665 
2021-03-02
2021-01-312.542.670.13
2020-11-18
2020-10-311.612.791.1873 
2020-08-19
2020-07-311.653.381.73104 
2020-05-20
2020-04-300.40.590.1947 
2020-03-03
2020-01-311.661.690.03
2019-11-20
2019-10-311.191.360.1714 
2019-08-21
2019-07-311.621.820.212 
2019-05-22
2019-04-301.431.530.1
2019-03-05
2019-01-311.521.530.01
2018-11-20
2018-10-311.111.09-0.02
2018-08-22
2018-07-311.41.470.07
2018-05-23
2018-04-301.391.32-0.07
2018-03-06
2018-01-311.381.37-0.01
2017-11-15
2017-10-310.860.910.05
2017-08-16
2017-07-311.191.230.04
2017-05-17
2017-04-300.911.210.332 
2017-02-28
2017-01-311.511.45-0.06
2016-11-16
2016-10-310.831.040.2125 
2016-08-17
2016-07-311.121.230.11
2016-05-18
2016-04-301.191.290.1
2016-02-24
2016-01-311.541.52-0.02
2015-11-18
2015-10-310.860.860.0
2015-08-19
2015-07-311.111.220.11
2015-05-20
2015-04-301.031.10.07
2015-02-25
2015-01-311.461.50.04
2014-11-19
2014-10-310.470.540.0714 
2014-08-20
2014-07-310.780.780.0
2014-05-21
2014-04-300.710.7-0.01
2014-02-26
2014-01-310.810.90.0911 
2013-11-21
2013-10-310.640.56-0.0812 
2013-08-21
2013-07-310.960.980.02
2013-05-22
2013-04-300.860.81-0.05
2013-02-27
2013-01-311.541.650.11
2012-11-15
2012-10-310.820.90.08
2012-08-15
2012-07-311.011.060.05
2012-05-16
2012-04-301.021.040.02
2012-02-23
2012-01-311.41.430.03
2011-11-16
2011-10-310.740.820.0810 
2011-08-17
2011-07-310.971.030.06
2011-05-18
2011-04-300.950.990.04
2011-02-24
2011-01-311.391.38-0.01
2010-11-17
2010-10-310.680.680.0
2010-08-18
2010-07-310.920.920.0
2010-05-19
2010-04-300.870.90.03
2010-02-23
2010-01-311.161.170.01
2009-11-17
2009-10-310.50.580.0816 
2009-08-18
2009-07-310.660.790.1319 
2009-05-20
2009-04-300.60.690.0915 
2009-02-24
2009-01-310.830.81-0.02
2008-11-17
2008-10-310.480.490.01
2008-08-19
2008-07-310.750.820.07
2008-05-20
2008-04-300.710.740.03
2008-02-26
2008-01-311.221.230.01
2007-11-20
2007-10-310.620.56-0.06
2007-08-21
2007-07-310.80.80.0
2007-05-23
2007-04-300.710.750.04
2007-02-27
2007-01-311.271.290.02
2006-11-14
2006-10-310.550.590.04
2006-08-10
2006-07-310.690.70.01
2006-05-15
2006-04-300.640.61-0.03
2006-02-16
2006-01-311.051.060.01
2005-11-10
2005-10-310.450.490.04
2005-08-11
2005-07-310.590.610.02
2005-05-12
2005-04-300.540.550.01
2005-02-17
2005-01-310.90.90.0
2004-11-11
2004-10-310.380.380.0
2004-08-12
2004-07-310.470.480.01
2004-05-13
2004-04-300.470.480.01
2004-02-19
2004-01-310.870.910.04
2003-11-13
2003-10-310.330.330.0
2003-08-14
2003-07-310.40.39-0.01
2003-05-15
2003-04-300.390.38-0.01
2003-02-20
2003-01-310.750.750.0
2002-11-14
2002-10-310.280.30.02
2002-08-15
2002-07-310.370.380.01
2002-05-21
2002-04-300.360.380.02
2002-02-28
2002-01-310.720.730.01
2001-11-20
2001-10-310.250.250.0
2001-08-21
2001-07-310.30.30.0
2001-05-22
2001-04-300.280.280.0
2001-03-06
2001-01-310.590.610.02
2000-11-14
2000-10-310.230.240.01
2000-08-15
2000-07-310.280.280.0
2000-05-16
2000-04-300.240.260.02
2000-02-29
2000-01-310.550.560.01
1999-11-16
1999-10-310.250.260.01
1999-08-17
1999-07-310.230.250.02
1999-05-18
1999-04-300.190.220.0315 
1999-03-02
1999-01-310.450.490.04
1998-11-17
1998-10-310.20.20.0
1998-08-18
1998-07-310.180.180.0
1998-05-19
1998-04-300.160.170.01
1998-03-03
1998-01-310.360.380.02
1997-11-18
1997-10-310.150.170.0213 
1997-08-19
1997-07-310.130.150.0215 
1997-05-20
1997-04-300.090.130.0444 
1997-03-04
1997-01-310.310.320.01

Use Target in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Target position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Target will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Target Pair Trading

Target Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Target could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Target when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Target - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Target to buy it.
The correlation of Target is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Target moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Target moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Target can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Target position

In addition to having Target in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Hedge Favorites Thematic Idea Now

Hedge Favorites
Hedge Favorites Theme
Hedge Funds pool capital from accredited individuals or institutional investors and invest in a variety of assets, often with complex portfolio-construction and risk-management techniques. The Hedge Favorites theme has 32 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hedge Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Target Stock Analysis

When running Target's price analysis, check to measure Target's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Target is operating at the current time. Most of Target's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Target's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Target's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Target to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.