Is Evolent Health Stock a Good Investment?

Evolent Health Investment Advice

  EVH
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Evolent Health stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Evolent Health. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Evolent Health in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Evolent Health's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Evolent Health's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Evolent Health navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Health Care Technology space and any emerging trends that could impact Evolent Health's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Evolent Health's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Evolent Health is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Evolent Health pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Evolent Health's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Evolent Health stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Evolent Health is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Evolent Health and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Evolent Health is not overpriced, please confirm all Evolent Health fundamentals, including its price to earning, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Evolent Health has a price to earning of (13.88) X, we urge you to verify Evolent Health market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Evolent Health Stock

Researching Evolent Health's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.25. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Evolent Health recorded a loss per share of 0.92. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Evolent Health is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Evolent Health's research are outlined below:
Evolent Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evolent Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.96 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (113.04 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 316.58 M.
Evolent Health has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Evolent Health, Inc. This Small-Cap Stock Is Ready To Explode

Evolent Health Quarterly Good Will

1.14 Billion

Evolent Health uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Evolent Health. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Evolent Health's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
28th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
1st of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
28th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Evolent Health's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Evolent Health's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-11-05
2020-09-30-0.04-0.030.0125 
2018-08-07
2018-06-30-0.04-0.030.0125 
2021-08-04
2021-06-30-0.04-0.020.0250 
2017-05-09
2017-03-31-0.16-0.140.0212 
2017-02-28
2016-12-31-0.2-0.180.0210 
2016-11-09
2016-09-30-0.13-0.110.0215 
2023-08-02
2023-06-300.110.140.0327 
2020-02-25
2019-12-31-0.04-0.07-0.0375 

Know Evolent Health's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Evolent Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Evolent Health backward and forwards among themselves. Evolent Health's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Evolent Health's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-06-30
2.7 M
Bellevue Group Ag2024-09-30
2.7 M
Orbimed Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
2.6 M
Blair William & Co2024-06-30
2.6 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
2.5 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
2.4 M
First Light Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
2.3 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
M
Holocene Advisors, Lp2024-09-30
M
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
11.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
10.9 M
Note, although Evolent Health's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Evolent Health's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 1.29 B.

Market Cap

772.89 Million

Evolent Health's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.14)(0.15)
Return On Capital Employed(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Equity(0.11)(0.10)
The company has Net Profit Margin of (0.03) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of (0.03) %, which entails that for every $100 of revenue, it lost $0.03.
Determining Evolent Health's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Evolent Health is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Evolent Health's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Evolent Health's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Evolent Health's management efficiency

The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to -0.15. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to -0.04. As of now, Evolent Health's Other Assets are increasing as compared to previous years. The Evolent Health's current Other Current Assets is estimated to increase to about 73.6 M, while Total Current Assets are projected to decrease to under 354.3 M. Evolent Health's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Evolent Health manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 9.60  9.12 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(7.20)(6.84)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(166.50)(158.17)
Price Book Value Ratio 3.44  3.61 
Enterprise Value Multiple(166.50)(158.17)
Price Fair Value 3.44  3.61 
Enterprise Value749.4 M742.8 M
The leadership approach at Evolent Health's fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Beta
1.587

Basic technical analysis of Evolent Stock

As of the 25th of November, Evolent Health shows the Standard Deviation of 6.47, variance of 41.92, and Mean Deviation of 3.11. Evolent Health technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.

Evolent Health's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Evolent Health insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Evolent Health's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Evolent Health insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Evolent Health's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Evolent Health issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Evolent Health uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Evolent bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Evolent Health has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Evolent Health's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Evolent Health's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Evolent Health's intraday indicators

Evolent Health intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Evolent Health stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Evolent Health Corporate Filings

13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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10Q
8th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
7th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
26th of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
Evolent Health time-series forecasting models is one of many Evolent Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Evolent Health's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Evolent Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Evolent Health that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Evolent media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Evolent internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Evolent data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Evolent Health news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Evolent Health relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Evolent Health's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Evolent Health alpha.

Evolent Health Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Evolent Health can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Evolent Health Corporate Directors

Bridget DuffyIndependent DirectorProfile
Bruce FeltIndependent DirectorProfile
Cheryl ScottLead Independent DirectorProfile
David FarnerDirectorProfile
When determining whether Evolent Health offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Evolent Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Evolent Health Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Evolent Health Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Evolent Health. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more detail on how to invest in Evolent Stock please use our How to Invest in Evolent Health guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Health Care Technology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evolent Health. If investors know Evolent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Evolent Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.92)
Revenue Per Share
21.554
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.216
Return On Assets
0.0073
Return On Equity
(0.06)
The market value of Evolent Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evolent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evolent Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evolent Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Evolent Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evolent Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Evolent Health's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Evolent Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Evolent Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.