Is Guess Stock a Good Investment?
Guess Investment Advice | GES |
- Examine Guess' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Guess' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Guess navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Specialty Retail space and any emerging trends that could impact Guess' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Guess' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Guess is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Guess pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Guess' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Guess Inc stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Guess Inc is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Guess Stock
Researching Guess' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.79. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guess Inc last dividend was issued on the 11th of September 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 13th of March 2007.
To determine if Guess is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Guess' research are outlined below:
| Guess Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guess Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 27th of September 2024 Guess paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Guess, Inc. to Webcast Conference Call on Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results |
Guess Quarterly Cost Of Revenue |
|
Guess uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Guess Inc. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Guess' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 12th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 22nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of January 2024 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 12th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 31st of October 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of January 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Guess' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Guess' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2003-02-26 | 2003-01-31 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 100 | ||
2002-02-28 | 2002-01-31 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 100 | ||
2001-11-01 | 2001-10-31 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 25 | ||
2001-07-31 | 2001-04-30 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 100 | ||
2005-02-16 | 2005-01-31 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.02 | 13 | ||
2004-10-28 | 2004-07-31 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 16 | ||
2018-11-28 | 2018-10-31 | 0.16 | 0.13 | -0.03 | 18 | ||
2016-11-30 | 2016-10-31 | 0.14 | 0.11 | -0.03 | 21 |
Know Guess' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Guess is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guess Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Guess' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Guess' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Nomura Holdings Inc | 2024-06-30 | 945.7 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 933.8 K | Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa | 2024-06-30 | 919.5 K | Bank Of Montreal | 2024-06-30 | 914.4 K | Bmo Capital Markets Corp. | 2024-06-30 | 914.4 K | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 813.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 774.2 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 600.2 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 591 K | Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.6 M |
Guess' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 877.78 M.Market Cap |
|
Guess' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.08 | 0.16 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.15 | 0.35 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.08 | 0.15 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.29 | 0.29 |
Determining Guess' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Guess is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Guess' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Guess' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Guess' Earnings Breakdown by Geography
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Guess' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Guess Inc. Check Guess' Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Guess' management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Guess' management efficiency
Guess Inc has Return on Asset of 0.0555 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0555 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.3502 %, implying that it generated $0.3502 on every 100 dollars invested. Guess' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Guess manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to gain to 0.16 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to 0.35 in 2024. At this time, Guess' Asset Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 13.79 | 9.44 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 13.15 | 8.43 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 6.13 | 5.61 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 1.78 | 3.40 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 6.13 | 5.61 | |
| Price Fair Value | 1.78 | 3.40 | |
| Enterprise Value | 918.5 M | 1.1 B |
Guess Inc benefits from a proactive management team that anticipates market trends. Our analysis delves into how this proactive stance influences financial metrics and stock valuation.
Dividend Yield 0.0703 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.0703 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.2 | Beta 1.986 |
Basic technical analysis of Guess Stock
As of the 24th of November, Guess retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.20), risk adjusted performance of (0.1), and Standard Deviation of 2.04. Guess technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Guess Inc mean deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and kurtosis to decide if Guess is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 17.07 per share. Given that Guess Inc has information ratio of (0.20), we strongly advise you to confirm Guess Inc's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Guess' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Guess insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Guess' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Guess insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Guess' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Guess issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Guess Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Guess bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Guess Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Dana 575 percent Corp BondUS235822AB96 | View | |
| Volcan Compania Minera Corp BondUSP98047AC08 | View | |
| Boeing Co 2196 Corp BondUS097023DG73 | View | |
| HSBC Holdings PLC Corp BondUS404280DR76 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4875 Corp BondUS55336VAG59 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View | |
| International Game Technology Corp BondUS460599AD57 | View | |
| BNP Paribas FRN Corp BondUSF1R15XK367 | View |
Understand Guess' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Guess' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.1) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.20) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (742.33) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Variance | 4.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.45) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.61) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.81 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.98 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1608 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.14) |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.1) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.20) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (742.33) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Variance | 4.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.45) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.61) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.81 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.98 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1608 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.14) |
Consider Guess' intraday indicators
Guess intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Guess stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Guess Corporate Filings
F4 | 8th of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
13A | 25th of October 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
| 23rd of October 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F3 | 16th of October 2024 An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing | ViewVerify |
Guess Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Guess that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Guess media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Guess internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Guess data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Guess news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Guess relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Guess' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Guess alpha.
Guess Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Guess can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Guess Inc Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to Guess' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Guess. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Guess can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Guess Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Guess' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Guess and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Guess news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Guess.
Guess Corporate Directors
| Laurie Goldman | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Anthony Chidoni | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Deborah Weinswig | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Gianluca Bolla | Independent Director | Profile |
Additional Tools for Guess Stock Analysis
When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.