Is Murphy Oil Stock a Good Investment?

Murphy Oil Investment Advice

  MUR
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Murphy Oil stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Murphy Oil. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Murphy Oil in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Murphy Oil's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Murphy Oil's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Murphy Oil navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space and any emerging trends that could impact Murphy Oil's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Murphy Oil's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Murphy Oil is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Murphy Oil pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Murphy Oil's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Murphy Oil stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Murphy Oil is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
Our trade recommendations module can be used to complement Murphy Oil advice provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Murphy Oil is not overpriced, please verify all Murphy Oil fundamentals, including its gross profit, price to earnings to growth, net asset, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and retained earnings . Given that Murphy Oil has a price to earning of 14.17 X, we recommend you to check Murphy Oil market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails

Examine Murphy Oil Stock

Researching Murphy Oil's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Murphy Oil has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. The firm had 1158:1000 split on the 3rd of September 2013.
To determine if Murphy Oil is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Murphy Oil's research are outlined below:
Murphy Oil generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Murphy Oil has 2.09 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.7, which is OK given its current industry classification. Murphy Oil has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Murphy to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 86.0% of Murphy Oil shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Meeder Asset Management Inc. Makes New 2.23 Million Investment in Murphy Oil Co. - MarketBeat
Murphy Oil uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Murphy Oil. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Murphy Oil's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
1st of May 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
1st of August 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
23rd of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Murphy Oil's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Murphy Oil's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2002-04-24
2002-03-310.010.01380.003838 
2018-01-31
2017-12-310.070.080.0114 
1999-07-21
1999-06-300.090.10.0111 
1999-04-21
1999-03-31-0.04-0.030.0125 
2021-01-28
2020-12-31-0.07-0.09-0.0228 
2020-11-05
2020-09-30-0.17-0.150.0211 
2019-08-08
2019-06-300.180.210.0316 
2019-01-31
2018-12-310.280.310.0310 

Know Murphy Oil's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Murphy Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Murphy Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Murphy Oil's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Murphy Oil's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
2.1 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
1.7 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
1.7 M
Cadence Bank2024-09-30
1.6 M
International Assets Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
1.6 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
1.5 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
21.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
17.4 M
Note, although Murphy Oil's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Murphy Oil's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 4.87 B.

Market Cap

6.95 Billion

Murphy Oil's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.07 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.15 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.23 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.23 of operating income.
Determining Murphy Oil's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Murphy Oil is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Murphy Oil's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Murphy Oil's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Murphy Oil's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Evaluate Murphy Oil's management efficiency

Murphy Oil has Return on Asset of 0.0477 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0477 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1034 %, implying that it generated $0.1034 on every 100 dollars invested. Murphy Oil's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Murphy Oil manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Murphy Oil's Return On Tangible Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/25/2024, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.07, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.08. At this time, Murphy Oil's Non Currrent Assets Other are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/25/2024, Net Tangible Assets is likely to grow to about 4.8 B, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop slightly above 6.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 35.75  37.54 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 35.75  37.54 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 4.30  4.87 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.23  1.58 
Enterprise Value Multiple 4.30  4.87 
Price Fair Value 1.23  1.58 
Enterprise Value8.4 B8.8 B
Murphy Oil benefits from a management team that prioritizes both innovation and efficiency. We analyze these priorities to gauge the stock's future performance.
Dividend Yield
0.0359
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0359
Forward Dividend Rate
1.2
Beta
2.203

Basic technical analysis of Murphy Stock

As of the 25th of November, Murphy Oil secures the Mean Deviation of 1.53, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Standard Deviation of 2.01. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Murphy Oil, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Murphy Oil market risk adjusted performance and treynor ratio to decide if Murphy Oil is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 33.4 per share. Given that Murphy Oil has information ratio of (0.13), we recommend you to check Murphy Oil's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Murphy Oil's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Murphy Oil insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Murphy Oil's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Murphy Oil insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Murphy Oil's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Murphy Oil issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Murphy Oil uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Murphy bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Murphy Oil has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Murphy Oil's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Murphy Oil's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Murphy Oil's intraday indicators

Murphy Oil intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Murphy Oil stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Murphy Oil Corporate Filings

8K
20th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
ASR
15th of October 2024
Automatic Shelf Registration Statement under Rule 415 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
ViewVerify
11th of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F3
4th of October 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
Murphy Oil time-series forecasting models is one of many Murphy Oil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Murphy Oil's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Murphy Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Murphy Oil that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Murphy media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Murphy internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Murphy data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Murphy Oil news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Murphy Oil relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Murphy Oil's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Murphy Oil alpha.

Murphy Oil Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Murphy Oil can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Murphy Oil Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Murphy Oil's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Murphy. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Murphy can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Murphy Oil. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Murphy Oil's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Murphy Oil and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Murphy Oil news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Murphy Oil.

Murphy Oil Corporate Directors

Robert MurphyIndependent DirectorProfile
Neal SchmaleIndependent DirectorProfile
Robert RyanIndependent DirectorProfile
James KelleyIndependent DirectorProfile

Additional Tools for Murphy Stock Analysis

When running Murphy Oil's price analysis, check to measure Murphy Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Murphy Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Murphy Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Murphy Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Murphy Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Murphy Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.