Murphy Oil Stock Performance
| MUR Stock | USD 32.57 0.46 1.43% |
Murphy Oil has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.95, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Murphy Oil returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Murphy Oil is expected to follow. Murphy Oil right now secures a risk of 2.95%. Please verify Murphy Oil potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and period momentum indicator , to decide if Murphy Oil will be following its current price movements.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Murphy Oil are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, Murphy Oil may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 5.23 | Five Day Return 10.99 | Year To Date Return (1.17) | Ten Year Return 66.98 | All Time Return 2 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0413 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 1158:1000 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.33 | Dividend Date 2026-03-02 |
| Murphy Oil dividend paid on 1st of December 2025 | 12/01/2025 |
1 | WINTON GROUP Ltd Purchases 38,761 Shares of Murphy Oil Corporation MUR | 12/08/2025 |
2 | Assessing Oceaneering International Valuation After New CFO And Board Appointment | 01/05/2026 |
3 | Is Murphy Oil Quietly Trading Exploration Upside for Balance Sheet Strength | 01/26/2026 |
4 | Here is Why Murphy Oil Fell This Week | 01/28/2026 |
5 | Murphy Oil seals deal to operate 4M-acre block offshore Morocco | 01/29/2026 |
6 | Murphy Oil Corporation Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript | 01/30/2026 |
7 | Murphy Oil Reports Results for Q4 2025 | 02/03/2026 |
8 | Disposition of 7497 shares by Lawrence Dickerson of Murphy Oil subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/05/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 423.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1 B |
Murphy Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,946 in Murphy Oil on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 265.00 from holding Murphy Oil or generate 9.0% return on investment over 90 days. Murphy Oil is generating 0.1819% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.946% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Murphy, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Murphy Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Murphy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 32.57 | 90 days | 32.57 | about 19.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Murphy Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.73 (This Murphy Oil probability density function shows the probability of Murphy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Murphy Oil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Murphy Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Murphy Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Murphy Oil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Murphy Oil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Murphy Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Murphy Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Murphy Oil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Murphy Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Murphy Oil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Murphy Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Murphy Oil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Murphy Oil has 2.2 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.7, which is OK given its current industry classification. Murphy Oil has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Murphy to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| Over 93.0% of Murphy Oil shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 7497 shares by Lawrence Dickerson of Murphy Oil subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Murphy Oil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Murphy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Murphy Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Murphy Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 144 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 377 M |
Murphy Oil Fundamentals Growth
Murphy Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Murphy Oil, and Murphy Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Murphy Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0262 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0252 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 6.41 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 142.74 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 14.17 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.90 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.70 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.72 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.69 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.25 B | ||||
| Net Income | 138.8 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 377.2 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.78 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.2 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.70 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.66 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 35.84 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.25 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.72 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.58 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 9.83 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 6.77 B | ||||
| Working Capital | (157.53 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 854.16 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 717.89 M | ||||
About Murphy Oil Performance
Assessing Murphy Oil's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Murphy Oil's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Murphy Oil is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 29.64 | 28.31 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Things to note about Murphy Oil performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Murphy Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Murphy Oil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Murphy Oil has 2.2 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.7, which is OK given its current industry classification. Murphy Oil has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Murphy to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| Over 93.0% of Murphy Oil shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 7497 shares by Lawrence Dickerson of Murphy Oil subject to Rule 16b-3 |
- Analyzing Murphy Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Murphy Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Murphy Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Murphy Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Murphy Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Murphy Oil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Murphy Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Murphy Stock Analysis
When running Murphy Oil's price analysis, check to measure Murphy Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Murphy Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Murphy Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Murphy Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Murphy Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Murphy Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.