Murphy Oil Stock Technical Analysis
| MUR Stock | USD 31.50 0.31 0.97% |
As of the 28th of January, Murphy Oil secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.079, downside deviation of 2.87, and Mean Deviation of 2.17. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Murphy Oil, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Murphy Oil variance and potential upside to decide if Murphy Oil is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 31.5 per share. Given that Murphy Oil has jensen alpha of 0.2328, we recommend you to check Murphy Oil's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Murphy Oil Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Murphy, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MurphyMurphy Oil's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Murphy Oil Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 30.47 | Hold | 17 | Odds |
Most Murphy analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Murphy stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Murphy Oil, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Murphy conference calls.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Murphy Oil. If investors know Murphy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Murphy Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | Dividend Share 1.275 | Earnings Share 1 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Murphy Oil is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Murphy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Murphy Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Murphy Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Murphy Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Murphy Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Murphy Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Murphy Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Murphy Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Murphy Oil 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Murphy Oil's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Murphy Oil.
| 10/30/2025 |
| 01/28/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Murphy Oil on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Murphy Oil or generate 0.0% return on investment in Murphy Oil over 90 days. Murphy Oil is related to or competes with California Resources, Magnolia Oil, Valvoline, Valaris, PBF Energy, CVR Energy, and Gulfport Energy. Murphy Oil Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production co... More
Murphy Oil Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Murphy Oil's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Murphy Oil upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0704 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.8 |
Murphy Oil Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Murphy Oil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Murphy Oil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Murphy Oil historical prices to predict the future Murphy Oil's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.079 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2328 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.001) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0728 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4246 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Murphy Oil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Murphy Oil January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.079 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4346 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1030.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Variance | 8.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0704 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2328 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.001) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0728 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4246 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.39) | |||
| Skewness | (0.04) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.68 |
Murphy Oil Backtested Returns
Murphy Oil appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Murphy Oil has Sharpe Ratio of 0.091, which conveys that the firm had a 0.091 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Murphy Oil, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Murphy Oil's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.079, downside deviation of 2.87, and Mean Deviation of 2.17 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Murphy Oil holds a performance score of 7. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.66, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Murphy Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Murphy Oil is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Murphy Oil's jensen alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Murphy Oil's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.12 |
Insignificant predictability
Murphy Oil has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Murphy Oil time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Murphy Oil price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Murphy Oil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.12 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.12 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.03 |
Murphy Oil technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Murphy Oil Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Murphy Oil across different markets.
About Murphy Oil Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Murphy Oil on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Murphy Oil based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Murphy Oil price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Murphy Oil. By analyzing Murphy Oil's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Murphy Oil's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Murphy Oil specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0258 | 0.0396 | 0.0456 | 0.0339 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.92 | 1.5 | 1.35 | 0.82 |
Murphy Oil January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Murphy help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Murphy from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Murphy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.079 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4346 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1030.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Variance | 8.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0704 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2328 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.001) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0728 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4246 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.39) | |||
| Skewness | (0.04) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.68 |
Murphy Oil January 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Murphy stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 31.50 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 31.50 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.15) |
Additional Tools for Murphy Stock Analysis
When running Murphy Oil's price analysis, check to measure Murphy Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Murphy Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Murphy Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Murphy Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Murphy Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Murphy Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.