Is Sibanye Gold Stock a Good Investment?

Sibanye Gold Investment Advice

  SBSW
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Sibanye Gold Ltd stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Sibanye Gold Ltd. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Sibanye Gold in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Sibanye Gold's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Sibanye Gold's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Sibanye Gold navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Precious Metals & Minerals space and any emerging trends that could impact Sibanye Gold's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Sibanye Gold's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Sibanye Gold is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Sibanye Gold pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Sibanye Gold's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Sibanye Gold Ltd stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Sibanye Gold Ltd is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Sibanye Gold. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Sibanye Gold is not overpriced, please validate all Sibanye Gold fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, net asset, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Sibanye Gold has a price to earning of 2.67 X, we advise you to double-check Sibanye Gold Ltd market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Sibanye Gold Stock

Researching Sibanye Gold's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 15.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.12. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sibanye Gold recorded a loss per share of 4.1. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of September 2023. The firm had 102:100 split on the 5th of October 2017.
To determine if Sibanye Gold is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Sibanye Gold's research are outlined below:
Sibanye Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sibanye Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 113.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (37.77 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.75 B.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Sibanye Stillwater Ltd. Skyrocketed Yesterday

Sibanye Gold Quarterly Good Will

499 Million

Sibanye Gold uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Sibanye Gold Ltd. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Sibanye Gold's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Sibanye Gold's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Sibanye Gold's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-08-25
2022-06-300.320.288-0.03210 
2021-08-26
2021-06-300.610.48-0.1321 
2022-03-03
2021-12-311.642.40.7646 
2023-02-28
2022-12-310.161.41.24775 

Sibanye Gold Target Price Consensus

Sibanye target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Sibanye Gold's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   3  Hold
Most Sibanye analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Sibanye stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Sibanye Gold, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Sibanye Gold Target Price Projection

Sibanye Gold's current and average target prices are 3.50 and 4.92, respectively. The current price of Sibanye Gold is the price at which Sibanye Gold Ltd is currently trading. On the other hand, Sibanye Gold's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Sibanye Gold Market Quote on 18th of January 2025

Low Price3.45Odds
High Price3.58Odds

3.5

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Sibanye Gold Target Price

Low Estimate4.48Odds
High Estimate5.46Odds

4.92

Historical Lowest Forecast  4.48 Target Price  4.92 Highest Forecast  5.46
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Sibanye Gold Ltd and the information provided on this page.

Sibanye Gold Analyst Ratings

Sibanye Gold's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Sibanye Gold stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Sibanye Gold's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Sibanye Gold's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Sibanye Gold's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Sibanye Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sibanye Gold Ltd backward and forwards among themselves. Sibanye Gold's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Sibanye Gold's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-09-30
2.9 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
2.8 M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
2.7 M
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2024-09-30
2.7 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
2.5 M
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-09-30
2.2 M
Group One Trading, Lp2024-09-30
1.8 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
1.7 M
Raymond James & Associates2024-09-30
1.7 M
Exor Investments (uk) Llp2024-09-30
27.5 M
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
6.1 M
Note, although Sibanye Gold's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Sibanye Gold's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.92 B.

Market Cap

44.43 Billion

Sibanye Gold's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.30)(0.29)
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.12 
Return On Assets(0.30)(0.29)
Return On Equity(0.70)(0.66)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.33) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.75) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.75.
Determining Sibanye Gold's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Sibanye Gold is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Sibanye Gold's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Sibanye Gold's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Sibanye Gold's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Sibanye Gold Ltd. Check Sibanye Gold's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Sibanye Gold's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Sibanye Gold's management efficiency

Sibanye Gold has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1264) % which means that it has lost $0.1264 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.5249) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Sibanye Gold's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Sibanye Gold manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Capital Employed is likely to climb to 0.12 in 2025, despite the fact that Return On Tangible Assets are likely to grow to (0.29). At this time, Sibanye Gold's Total Current Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Net Tangible Assets is likely to climb to about 96.3 B in 2025, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 86.3 B in 2025.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 16.41  10.89 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 16.25  9.70 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(3.79)(3.60)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.30  1.37 
Enterprise Value Multiple(3.79)(3.60)
Price Fair Value 1.30  1.37 
Enterprise Value53.5 B45.8 B
Leadership at Sibanye Gold emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Beta
1.417

Basic technical analysis of Sibanye Stock

As of the 18th of January 2025, Sibanye Gold has the Variance of 15.93, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,725). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Sibanye Gold, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Sibanye Gold mean deviation and maximum drawdown to decide if Sibanye Gold is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 3.5 per share. Given that Sibanye Gold has information ratio of (0.06), we advise you to double-check Sibanye Gold Ltd's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Sibanye Gold's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Sibanye Gold issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Sibanye Gold uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Sibanye bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Sibanye Gold Ltd has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Sibanye Gold's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Sibanye Gold's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Sibanye Gold's intraday indicators

Sibanye Gold intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Sibanye Gold stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Sibanye Gold Corporate Filings

6K
19th of December 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
13A
13th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
26th of September 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
Sibanye Gold time-series forecasting models is one of many Sibanye Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Sibanye Gold's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Sibanye Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Sibanye Gold that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Sibanye media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Sibanye internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Sibanye data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Sibanye Gold news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Sibanye Gold relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Sibanye Gold's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Sibanye Gold alpha.

Sibanye Gold Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Sibanye Gold can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Sibanye Gold Maximum Pain Price Across April 17th 2025 Option Contracts

Sibanye Gold's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Sibanye Gold close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Sibanye Gold's options.

Sibanye Gold Corporate Management

Jerry VilakaziNon-Executive Independent DirectorProfile
Richard CoxExecutive Vice President - SA gold operationsProfile
BSc BScCEO DirectorProfile
Keith RaynerNon-Executive Independent DirectorProfile
Mika MScChief EuropeProfile
Shadwick BessitExecutive Vice President - SA gold operationsProfile
Hartley DikgaleExecutive Vice President - Legal and complianceProfile

Additional Tools for Sibanye Stock Analysis

When running Sibanye Gold's price analysis, check to measure Sibanye Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sibanye Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Sibanye Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sibanye Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sibanye Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sibanye Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.