Is Timken Stock a Good Investment?
Timken Investment Advice | TKR |
- Examine Timken's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Timken's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Timken navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space and any emerging trends that could impact Timken's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Timken's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Timken is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Timken pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Timken's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Timken Company stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Timken Company is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Timken Stock
Researching Timken's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Timken was at this time reported as 40.35. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.2. Timken Company last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2025. The entity had 1397:1000 split on the 1st of July 2014.
To determine if Timken is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Timken's research are outlined below:
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
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Timken Quarterly Accounts Payable |
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Timken uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Timken Company. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Timken's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 5th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 1st of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 5th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Timken's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Timken's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2001-07-18 | 2001-06-30 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 50 | ||
2003-10-23 | 2003-09-30 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 100 | ||
2001-01-18 | 2000-12-31 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 11 | ||
2002-10-16 | 2002-09-30 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 21 | ||
2001-10-16 | 2001-09-30 | -0.02 | -0.05 | -0.03 | 150 | ||
1999-10-18 | 1999-09-30 | 0.17 | 0.2 | 0.03 | 17 | ||
1999-07-19 | 1999-06-30 | 0.17 | 0.2 | 0.03 | 17 | ||
2004-04-22 | 2004-03-31 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.04 | 14 |
Timken Target Price Consensus
Timken target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Timken's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 12 | Buy |
Most Timken analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Timken stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Timken Company, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationTimken Target Price Projection
Timken's current and average target prices are 83.15 and 89.64, respectively. The current price of Timken is the price at which Timken Company is currently trading. On the other hand, Timken's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Timken Target Price
Timken Analyst Ratings
Timken's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Timken stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Timken's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Timken's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Timken's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Timken is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Timken Company backward and forwards among themselves. Timken's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Timken's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Fiduciary Management, Inc. Of Milwaukee | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 882.2 K | Brown Advisory Holdings Inc | 2024-09-30 | 875.1 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 846.5 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 783.6 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 717.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 695.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 653.1 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 6.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.6 M |
Timken's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 5.83 B.Market Cap |
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Timken's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.12 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.05 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | 0.14 |
Determining Timken's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Timken is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Timken's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Timken's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Timken's Earnings Breakdown by Geography
Evaluate Timken's management efficiency
Timken Company has Return on Asset of 0.0592 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0592 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.132 %, implying that it generated $0.132 on every 100 dollars invested. Timken's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Timken manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 02/16/2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.09, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.07. At this time, Timken's Asset Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 34.07 | 35.78 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 4.86 | 4.61 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 8.34 | 4.93 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 1.99 | 1.06 | |
| Price Fair Value | 1.99 | 1.06 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 8.34 | 4.93 | |
| Enterprise Value | 7 B | 7.4 B |
Understanding the management dynamics of Timken Company allows us to gauge its ability to sustain growth and profitability. This comprehensive analysis aids in determining the stock's value.
Basic technical analysis of Timken Stock
As of the 16th of February 2025, Timken has the Coefficient Of Variation of 1107.23, risk adjusted performance of 0.0693, and Semi Deviation of 1.31. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Timken Company, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Timken Company standard deviation, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and kurtosis to decide if Timken is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 83.15 per share. Given that Timken Company has jensen alpha of 0.1272, we advise you to double-check Timken Company's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Timken's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Timken insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Timken's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Timken insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Karl Roellgen six days ago Acquisition by Karl Roellgen of 1244 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Sarah Lauber over a month ago Acquisition by Sarah Lauber of 400 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Richard Kyle over six months ago Disposition of 15000 shares by Richard Kyle of Timken at 92.41 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Ajita Rajendra over six months ago Acquisition by Ajita Rajendra of 1845 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Richard Kyle over six months ago Acquisition by Richard Kyle of 30000 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
John Timken over six months ago Disposition of 1000 shares by John Timken of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Richard Kyle over six months ago Acquisition by Richard Kyle of 45000 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Christopher Coughlin over six months ago Disposition of 436 shares by Christopher Coughlin of Timken at 81.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Toot Joseph F Jr over a year ago Acquisition by Toot Joseph F Jr of 2500 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Timken's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Timken issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Timken Company uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Timken bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Timken Company has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| TIME WARNER INC Corp BondUS887315BN85 | View | |
| TWX 83 15 JAN 36 Corp BondUS887315AZ25 | View | |
| US88731EAJ91 Corp BondUS88731EAJ91 | View | |
| TIMKEN 45 percent Corp BondUS887389AK07 | View | |
| TKR 4125 01 APR 32 Corp BondUS887389AL89 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4875 Corp BondUS55336VAJ98 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View |
Understand Timken's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Timken's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0693 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2268 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1107.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.33 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.083 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1272 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1254 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0891 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2168 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.57 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.13) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0886 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6097 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0693 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2268 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1107.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.33 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.083 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1272 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1254 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0891 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2168 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.57 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.13) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0886 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6097 |
Consider Timken's intraday indicators
Timken intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Timken stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Timken Corporate Filings
| 14th of February 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 12th of February 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 5th of February 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F3 | 21st of January 2025 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
Timken Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Timken that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Timken media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Timken internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Timken data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Timken news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Timken relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Timken's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Timken alpha.
Timken Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Timken can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Timken Company Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to Timken's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Timken. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Timken can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Timken Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Timken's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Timken and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Timken news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Timken.
Timken Maximum Pain Price Across March 21st 2025 Option Contracts
Timken's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Timken close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Timken's options.
Timken Corporate Directors
| Sarah Lauber | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Elizabeth Harrell | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Christopher Mapes | Independent Director | Profile | |
| john Luke | Independent Director | Profile |
Additional Tools for Timken Stock Analysis
When running Timken's price analysis, check to measure Timken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Timken is operating at the current time. Most of Timken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Timken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Timken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Timken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.