Timken Company Stock Performance

TKR Stock  USD 75.96  0.74  0.98%   
The entity has a beta of 1.54, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Timken will likely underperform. At this point, Timken Company has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to validate Timken's total risk alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Timken Company performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Timken Company has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain invariable and the latest agitation on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-running gains for the enterprise retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.98
Five Day Return
0.61
Year To Date Return
(3.71)
Ten Year Return
75.91
All Time Return
940.55
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0179
Payout Ratio
0.225
Last Split Factor
1397:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
1.36
Dividend Date
2024-11-29
 
Timken dividend paid on 30th of August 2024
08/30/2024
1
Timken Expands Its Automation Portfolio With Acquisition of CGI
09/11/2024
2
Timken Reports Q3 Earnings What Key Metrics Have to Say
11/05/2024
3
Timken Releases Earnings Results, Misses Estimates By 0.15 EPS
11/06/2024
4
Disposition of 3300 shares by Richard Kyle of Timken at 77.09 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/08/2024
5
Unlocking Timken International Revenues Trends, Surprises, and Prospects
11/11/2024
6
Evercore upgrades Timken stock on attractive valuation and restructuring potential
11/13/2024
7
Board Member Of Timken Sold 2.46M In Stock
11/15/2024
8
Global Motor Bearing Market Projected to Reach USD 16,623.7 Million by 2034, Driven by Electric Vehicle Demand and Industrial Automation Growth Future Market In...
11/20/2024
9
Replacing JD Vance in the U.S. Senate sets off scramble in Ohio
11/22/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow340.7 M
  

Timken Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,282  in Timken Company on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (686.00) from holding Timken Company or give up 8.28% of portfolio value over 90 days. Timken Company is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.4379% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Timken, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Timken is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.17 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Timken Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timken's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Timken Company, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Timken's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.043

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Negative ReturnsTKR

Estimated Market Risk

 2.44
  actual daily
21
79% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.1
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.04
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Timken is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Timken by adding Timken to a well-diversified portfolio.

Timken Fundamentals Growth

Timken Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timken, and Timken fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timken Stock performance.

About Timken Performance

Assessing Timken's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Timken's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Timken is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 134.90  80.28 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.16 

Things to note about Timken Company performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timken for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Timken Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Timken Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Timken Company has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cbsnews.com: Replacing JD Vance in the U.S. Senate sets off scramble in Ohio
Evaluating Timken's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Timken's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Timken's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timken's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Timken's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Timken's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timken's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timken's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Timken's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Timken's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Timken's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Timken Stock Analysis

When running Timken's price analysis, check to measure Timken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Timken is operating at the current time. Most of Timken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Timken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Timken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Timken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.