Timken Company Stock Performance
| TKR Stock | USD 107.84 0.49 0.46% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Timken holds a performance score of 28. The entity has a beta of 1.51, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Timken will likely underperform. Please check Timken's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to make a quick decision on whether Timken's existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Strong
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timken Company are ranked lower than 28 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak forward-looking signals, Timken reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.46 | Five Day Return (2.13) | Year To Date Return 24.97 | Ten Year Return 255.2 | All Time Return 1.4 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.013 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 1397:1000 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.4 | Dividend Date 2026-03-06 |
1 | Insider Trading | 11/21/2025 |
| Timken dividend paid on 5th of December 2025 | 12/05/2025 |
2 | Gorman-Rupp, Timken, Tennant, Enpro, and Mueller Water Products Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know | 01/08/2026 |
3 | Acquisition by Sarah Lauber of 400 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/12/2026 |
4 | Timken Q4 Earnings Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates | 02/04/2026 |
5 | Why Timken Is Up 6.0 percent After Mixed Q4 Beat And Cautious 2026 Guidance And Whats Next | 02/05/2026 |
6 | Disposition of 1672 shares by Richard Kyle of Timken at 104.33 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/06/2026 |
7 | Acquisition by Karl Roellgen of 1244 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/09/2026 |
8 | Disposition of 103 shares by Michael Discenza of Timken at 109.23 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/10/2026 |
9 | 5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Timkens Q4 Earnings Call | 02/11/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 373.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -148.3 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 406.1 M |
Timken Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 7,449 in Timken Company on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 3,335 from holding Timken Company or generate 44.77% return on investment over 90 days. Timken Company is generating 0.6338% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.7692% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Timken, and above 88% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Timken Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Timken Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 107.84 | 90 days | 107.84 | about 1.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timken to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.49 (This Timken Company probability density function shows the probability of Timken Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Timken Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Timken
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timken Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Timken Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timken is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timken's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timken Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timken within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
Timken Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timken for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timken Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
Timken Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Timken Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Timken's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Timken's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 70.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 386.5 M |
Timken Fundamentals Growth
Timken Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timken, and Timken fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timken Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0536 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 9.17 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 69.66 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 14.32 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.36 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.64 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.58 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.39 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 746.1 M | ||||
| Net Income | 288.4 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 364.4 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.14 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.16 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.86 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.03 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 45.80 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 554.3 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 4.11 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 7.51 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 6.68 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 2.68 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.7 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.21 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 505.3 M | ||||
About Timken Performance
Assessing Timken's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Timken's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Timken is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 138.88 | 82.36 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.10 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.09 | 0.07 |
Things to note about Timken Company performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Timken for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Timken Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
- Analyzing Timken's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timken's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Timken's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Timken's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timken's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timken's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Timken's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Timken Stock Analysis
When running Timken's price analysis, check to measure Timken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Timken is operating at the current time. Most of Timken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Timken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Timken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Timken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.