Timken Company Stock Performance

TKR Stock  USD 107.84  0.49  0.46%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Timken holds a performance score of 28. The entity has a beta of 1.51, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Timken will likely underperform. Please check Timken's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to make a quick decision on whether Timken's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timken Company are ranked lower than 28 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak forward-looking signals, Timken reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.46
Five Day Return
(2.13)
Year To Date Return
24.97
Ten Year Return
255.2
All Time Return
1.4 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.013
Payout Ratio
0.2608
Last Split Factor
1397:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
1.4
Dividend Date
2026-03-06
1
Insider Trading
11/21/2025
 
Timken dividend paid on 5th of December 2025
12/05/2025
2
Gorman-Rupp, Timken, Tennant, Enpro, and Mueller Water Products Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know
01/08/2026
3
Acquisition by Sarah Lauber of 400 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3
01/12/2026
4
Timken Q4 Earnings Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
02/04/2026
5
Why Timken Is Up 6.0 percent After Mixed Q4 Beat And Cautious 2026 Guidance And Whats Next
02/05/2026
6
Disposition of 1672 shares by Richard Kyle of Timken at 104.33 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/06/2026
7
Acquisition by Karl Roellgen of 1244 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3
02/09/2026
8
Disposition of 103 shares by Michael Discenza of Timken at 109.23 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/10/2026
9
5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Timkens Q4 Earnings Call
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow373.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-148.3 M
Free Cash Flow406.1 M

Timken Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,449  in Timken Company on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,335  from holding Timken Company or generate 44.77% return on investment over 90 days. Timken Company is generating 0.6338% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.7692% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Timken, and above 88% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Timken is expected to generate 2.32 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.32 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.36 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

Timken Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Timken Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 107.84 90 days 107.84 
about 1.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timken to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.49 (This Timken Company probability density function shows the probability of Timken Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.51 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Timken will likely underperform. Additionally Timken Company has an alpha of 0.3962, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Timken Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Timken

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timken Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.06109.74111.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.06111.40113.17
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
95.10104.50116.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.511.591.67
Details

Timken Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timken is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timken's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timken Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timken within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.51
σ
Overall volatility
8.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Timken Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timken for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timken Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading

Timken Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Timken Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Timken's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Timken's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments386.5 M

Timken Fundamentals Growth

Timken Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timken, and Timken fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timken Stock performance.

About Timken Performance

Assessing Timken's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Timken's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Timken is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 138.88  82.36 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.07 

Things to note about Timken Company performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timken for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Timken Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading
Evaluating Timken's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Timken's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Timken's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timken's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Timken's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Timken's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timken's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timken's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Timken's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Timken's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Timken's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Timken Stock Analysis

When running Timken's price analysis, check to measure Timken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Timken is operating at the current time. Most of Timken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Timken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Timken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Timken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.