Timken Company Stock Technical Analysis
| TKR Stock | USD 109.41 0.48 0.44% |
As of the 11th of February 2026, Timken has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2441, semi deviation of 0.9315, and Coefficient Of Variation of 335.54. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Timken Company, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Timken Company standard deviation, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and kurtosis to decide if Timken is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 109.41 per share. Given that Timken Company has jensen alpha of 0.3944, we advise you to double-check Timken Company's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Timken Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Timken, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TimkenTimken's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Timken Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 99.18 | Buy | 12 | Odds |
Most Timken analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Timken stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Timken Company, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Timken conference calls.
Can Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components industry sustain growth momentum? Does Timken have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Timken. If investors know Timken will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Timken demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 1.39 | Earnings Share 4.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.035 |
Investors evaluate Timken Company using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Timken's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Timken's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timken's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timken is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Timken's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Timken 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Timken's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Timken.
| 11/13/2025 |
| 02/11/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Timken on November 13, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Timken Company or generate 0.0% return on investment in Timken over 90 days. Timken is related to or competes with GATX, Gates Industrial, KBR, FTI Consulting, Kirby, Ralliant Common, and Copa Holdings. The Timken Company designs, manufactures, and manages engineered bearings and power transmission products worldwide More
Timken Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Timken's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Timken Company upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2456 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.44 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.57 |
Timken Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timken's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Timken's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Timken historical prices to predict the future Timken's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2441 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3944 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3344 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3188 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3487 |
Timken February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2441 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3587 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9315 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 335.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.13 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2456 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3944 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3344 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3188 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3487 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.44 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8677 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.68) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3573 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.0E-4 |
Timken Company Backtested Returns
Timken appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Timken Company owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.32, which indicates the firm had a 0.32 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Timken's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.59% is justified by implied risk. Please review Timken's Semi Deviation of 0.9315, coefficient of variation of 335.54, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2441 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Timken holds a performance score of 25. The entity has a beta of 1.48, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Timken will likely underperform. Please check Timken's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Timken's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.70 |
Good predictability
Timken Company has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Timken time series from 13th of November 2025 to 28th of December 2025 and 28th of December 2025 to 11th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Timken Company price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Timken price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.7 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.8 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 37.06 |
Timken technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Timken Company Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Timken Company across different markets.
About Timken Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Timken Company on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Timken Company based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Timken Company price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Timken Company. By analyzing Timken's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Timken's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Timken specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0164 | 0.0192 | 0.0167 | 0.0159 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.28 | 1.35 |
Timken February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Timken help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Timken from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Timken charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2441 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3587 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9315 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 335.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.13 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2456 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3944 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3344 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3188 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3487 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.44 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8677 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.68) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3573 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.0E-4 |
Timken February 11, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Timken stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 25,838 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.18 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 109.23 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 109.29 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.42 |
Additional Tools for Timken Stock Analysis
When running Timken's price analysis, check to measure Timken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Timken is operating at the current time. Most of Timken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Timken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Timken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Timken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.