Is Tractor Supply Stock a Good Investment?
Tractor Supply Investment Advice | TSCO |
- Examine Tractor Supply's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Tractor Supply's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Tractor Supply navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Other Specialty Retail space and any emerging trends that could impact Tractor Supply's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Tractor Supply's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Tractor Supply is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Tractor Supply pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Tractor Supply's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Tractor Supply stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Tractor Supply is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Tractor Supply Stock
Researching Tractor Supply's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.72. Tractor Supply last dividend was issued on the 25th of November 2024. The entity had 5:1 split on the 20th of December 2024.
To determine if Tractor Supply is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Tractor Supply's research are outlined below:
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of December 2024 Tractor Supply paid $ 1.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Tractor Supply Co Trading 5.19 percent Higher on Jan 21 |
Tractor Supply Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity |
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Tractor Supply uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Tractor Supply. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Tractor Supply's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 1st of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 25th of April 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 1st of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Tractor Supply's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Tractor Supply's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2010-04-21 | 2010-03-31 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 20 | ||
2005-10-19 | 2005-09-30 | 0.1 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 10 | ||
2004-04-12 | 2004-03-31 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 100 | ||
2004-01-20 | 2003-12-31 | 0.09 | 0.1 | 0.01 | 11 | ||
2003-10-13 | 2003-09-30 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 14 | ||
2003-01-24 | 2002-12-31 | 0.1 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 10 | ||
2002-04-15 | 2002-03-31 | -0.04 | -0.03 | 0.01 | 25 | ||
2000-10-25 | 2000-09-30 | 0.02 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 50 |
Tractor Supply Target Price Consensus
Tractor target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Tractor Supply's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 34 | Buy |
Most Tractor analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Tractor stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Tractor Supply, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationTractor Supply Target Price Projection
Tractor Supply's current and average target prices are 57.75 and 58.38, respectively. The current price of Tractor Supply is the price at which Tractor Supply is currently trading. On the other hand, Tractor Supply's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Tractor Supply Market Quote on 29th of January 2025
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Tractor Supply Target Price
Tractor Supply Analyst Ratings
Tractor Supply's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Tractor Supply stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Tractor Supply's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Tractor Supply's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Tractor Supply's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Tractor Supply is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tractor Supply backward and forwards among themselves. Tractor Supply's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Tractor Supply's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Stifel Financial Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Select Equity Group Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 1.3 M | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-09-30 | 1 M | Veritas Investment Partners (uk) Ltd. | 2024-09-30 | 1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 13 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 9.8 M |
Tractor Supply's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 30.65 B.Market Cap |
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Tractor Supply's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.12 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.21 | 0.20 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.12 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.48 | 0.50 |
Determining Tractor Supply's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Tractor Supply is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Tractor Supply's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Tractor Supply's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate Tractor Supply's management efficiency
Tractor Supply has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0977 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0977 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.5058 %, meaning that it created $0.5058 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Tractor Supply's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Tractor Supply manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 29th of January 2025, Return On Equity is likely to grow to 0.50, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.09. At this time, Tractor Supply's Debt To Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of January 2025, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 2.60, while Other Assets are likely to drop about 45.4 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.30 | 3.47 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 2.89 | 3.04 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 14.74 | 8.37 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 11.04 | 11.59 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 14.74 | 8.37 | |
| Price Fair Value | 11.04 | 11.59 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2.9 B | 3.1 B |
Tractor Supply showcases strong leadership that adapts to market changes and drives innovation. Our analysis explores how this adaptability affects the stock's investment appeal.
Basic technical analysis of Tractor Stock
As of the 29th of January, Tractor Supply has the Coefficient Of Variation of 8727.96, semi deviation of 1.78, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0151. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Tractor Supply, as well as the relationship between them.Tractor Supply's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Tractor Supply insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Tractor Supply's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Tractor Supply insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Tractor Supply's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Tractor Supply issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Tractor Supply uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Tractor bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Tractor Supply has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| TOYOTA 365 18 AUG 25 Corp BondUS89236TKF11 | View | |
| TOYOTA 445 29 JUN 29 Corp BondUS89236TKD62 | View | |
| TOYOTA 395 30 JUN 25 Corp BondUS89236TKC89 | View | |
| TOYOTA 2362 25 MAR 31 Corp BondUS892331AN94 | View | |
| TOYOTA 305 22 MAR 27 Corp BondUS89236TJZ93 | View | |
| TOYOTA 24 13 JAN 32 Corp BondUS89236TJW62 | View | |
| US892356AA40 Corp BondUS892356AA40 | View | |
| TOYOTA 19 13 JAN 27 Corp BondUS89236TJV89 | View |
Understand Tractor Supply's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Tractor Supply's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0151 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0673 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 8727.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0573 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.25 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.37) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1036 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.53 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0151 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0673 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 8727.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0573 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.25 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.37) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1036 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.53 |
Consider Tractor Supply's intraday indicators
Tractor Supply intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Tractor Supply stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Tractor Supply time-series forecasting models is one of many Tractor Supply's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Tractor Supply's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Tractor Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Tractor Supply that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Tractor media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Tractor internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Tractor data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Tractor Supply news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Tractor Supply relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Tractor Supply's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Tractor Supply alpha.
Tractor Supply Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Tractor Supply can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Tractor Supply Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to Tractor Supply's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tractor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tractor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tractor Supply. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Tractor Supply's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Tractor Supply and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Tractor Supply news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Tractor Supply.
Tractor Supply Maximum Pain Price Across April 17th 2025 Option Contracts
Tractor Supply's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Tractor Supply close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Tractor Supply's options.
Tractor Supply Corporate Management
| Jonathan Estep | Executive Officer | Profile | |
| Matthew Rubin | Senior Petsense | Profile | |
| Robert Mills | Digital Technology | Profile | |
| Kimberley Gardiner | Senior Officer | Profile |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Tractor Supply. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. To learn how to invest in Tractor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tractor Supply guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tractor Supply. If investors know Tractor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tractor Supply listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 4.33 | Earnings Share 2.06 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.016 |
The market value of Tractor Supply is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tractor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tractor Supply's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tractor Supply's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tractor Supply's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tractor Supply's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Tractor Supply's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Tractor Supply is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tractor Supply's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.