Tractor Supply Valuation

TSCO Stock  USD 281.71  8.08  2.95%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Tractor Supply has a current Real Value of $258.15 per share. The regular price of the company is $281.71. Our model measures the value of Tractor Supply from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.09 %, shares outstanding of 106.84 M, and Return On Equity of 0.51 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Tractor Supply's valuation include:
Price Book
13.1502
Enterprise Value
35.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
18.4162
Price Sales
2.0378
Forward PE
24.8756
Overvalued
Today
281.71
Please note that Tractor Supply's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Tractor Supply is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Tractor Supply's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Tractor Supply is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Tractor Stock. However, Tractor Supply's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  281.71 Real  258.15 Target  233.17 Hype  281.6 Naive  281.29
The intrinsic value of Tractor Supply's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Tractor Supply's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
256.61
Downside
258.15
Real Value
309.88
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Tractor Supply helps investors to forecast how Tractor stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Tractor Supply more accurately as focusing exclusively on Tractor Supply's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
2.522.572.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
280.06281.60283.14
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
2.742.782.82
Details
33 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
212.18233.17258.82
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Tractor Supply's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Tractor Supply's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Tractor Supply's closest peers.

Tractor Supply Cash

416.92 Million

Tractor Valuation Trend

Knowing Tractor Supply's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Tractor Supply's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Tractor Supply Total Value Analysis

Tractor Supply is at this time forecasted to have valuation of 35.24 B with market capitalization of 30.1 B, debt of 5.04 B, and cash on hands of 211.24 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Tractor Supply fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
35.24 B
30.1 B
5.04 B
211.24 M

Tractor Supply Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.54. Tractor Supply recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.28. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 27th of September 2013. Based on the key measurements obtained from Tractor Supply's financial statements, Tractor Supply is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate risk of reporting better financial numbers in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.05840.0909
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.4 B1.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.6 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Tractor Supply Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Tractor Supply has an asset utilization ratio of 158.42 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.58 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Tractor Supply is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Tractor Supply Ownership Allocation

Tractor Supply shows a total of 106.84 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Tractor Supply outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Tractor Supply to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Tractor Supply. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Tractor Supply as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On November 11, 2024, Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Tractor Supply's common stock.

Tractor Supply Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.56 B. Net Income was 1.11 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.97 B.

Tractor Supply Past Distributions to stockholders

About Tractor Supply Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tractor Supply. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Tractor Supply based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Tractor Supply's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Tractor Supply's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Tractor Supply. We calculate exposure to Tractor Supply's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Tractor Supply's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit5.2 B5.5 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.09  0.06 
Operating Profit Margin 0.09  0.06 
Net Profit Margin 0.07  0.04 
Gross Profit Margin 0.32  0.25 
Tractor Supply's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Tractor Supply's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Tractor Supply can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Tractor Supply represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Tractor, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Tractor Supply Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of the 25th of November 2024, Dividends Paid is likely to grow to about 472.1 M. Also, Dividend Yield is likely to grow to 0.02. At this time, Tractor Supply's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to grow to about 6.8 B, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 15.70.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid449.6 M472.1 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.34  0.36 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.03  1.08 
There are various types of dividends Tractor Supply can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Tractor shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Tractor Supply directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Tractor pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Tractor Supply by the value of the dividends paid out.

Tractor Supply Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding109.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.039
Forward Price Earnings24.8756

Tractor Supply Current Valuation Indicators

Tractor Supply's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Tractor Supply's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Tractor Supply, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Tractor Supply's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Tractor Supply's worth.
When determining whether Tractor Supply offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tractor Supply's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tractor Supply Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tractor Supply Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Tractor Supply. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
To learn how to invest in Tractor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tractor Supply guide.
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Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tractor Supply. If investors know Tractor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tractor Supply listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Dividend Share
4.33
Earnings Share
10.28
Revenue Per Share
137.078
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.016
The market value of Tractor Supply is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tractor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tractor Supply's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tractor Supply's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tractor Supply's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tractor Supply's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tractor Supply's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tractor Supply is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tractor Supply's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.