Is Tredegar Stock a Good Investment?

Tredegar Investment Advice

To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Tredegar stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Tredegar. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Tredegar in one of your diversified portfolios:

Examine Tredegar's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
Research Tredegar's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Tredegar navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
Consider the overall health of the Commodity Chemicals space and any emerging trends that could impact Tredegar's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
Compare Tredegar's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Tredegar is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
Check if Tredegar pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
Review what financial analysts are saying about Tredegar's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.

It's important to note that investing in Tredegar stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Tredegar is a good investment.

Sell

Buy

Strong Sell

We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Tredegar. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Tredegar is not overpriced, please validate all Tredegar fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Tredegar has a price to earning of 5.78 X, we advise you to double-check Tredegar market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance	Weak	Details
Volatility	Somewhat reliable	Details
Hype Condition	Low key	Details
Current Valuation	Undervalued	Details
Odds Of Distress	Below Average	Details
Economic Sensitivity	Moves indifferently to market moves	Details
Investor Sentiment	Interested	Details
Analyst Consensus	Strong Sell	Details
Financial Strenth (F Score)	Healthy	Details
Financial Leverage	Not Rated	Details
Reporting Quality (M-Score)	Possible Manipulator	Details

Examine Tredegar Stock

Researching Tredegar's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.67. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tredegar recorded a loss per share of 0.8. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of June 2023. The firm had 3:1 split on the 2nd of July 1998.

To determine if Tredegar is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Tredegar's research are outlined below:

	Tredegar had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
	The company generated the yearly revenue of 704.83 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (105.91 M) with gross profit of 139.64 M.
	About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
	Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Tredegar Appoints Chris Vlahcevic to Board of Directors

Tredegar Quarterly Cost Of Revenue

158.76 Million

Tredegar uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Tredegar. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Tredegar's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.

	21st of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report	View
	31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End	View

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Tredegar's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Tredegar's investors have experienced.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
1993-10-15	1993-09-30	0.05	0.06	0.01	20
1993-01-18	1992-12-31	0.07	0.08	0.01	14
2010-05-04	2010-03-31	0.15	0.17	0.02	13
2005-04-20	2005-03-31	0.19	0.17	-0.02	10
2003-04-21	2003-03-31	0.16	0.14	-0.02	12
1994-10-17	1994-09-30	0.07	0.09	0.02	28
1994-04-15	1994-03-31	0.06	0.08	0.02	33
1994-01-17	1993-12-31	0.05	0.07	0.02	40

Know Tredegar's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Tredegar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tredegar backward and forwards among themselves. Tredegar's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Tredegar's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.

		Shares
London Company Of Virginia	2024-09-30	315.1 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc	2024-09-30	240.7 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp	2024-09-30	228.6 K
Northern Trust Corp	2024-09-30	224.6 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts	2024-09-30	202.7 K
Millennium Management Llc	2024-09-30	180.4 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc	2024-09-30	173.8 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc	2024-09-30	166.3 K
Assenagon Asset Management Sa	2024-09-30	147.9 K
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al	2024-09-30	5.1 M
Blackrock Inc	2024-09-30	2.7 M

Note, although Tredegar's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Tredegar's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 240.04 M.

Market Cap

157.88 Million

Tredegar's profitablity analysis

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets	(0.30)	(0.29)
Return On Capital Employed	(0.09)	(0.09)
Return On Assets	(0.27)	(0.26)
Return On Equity	(0.78)	(0.74)

The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of (0.04) %, which may indicate that it does not properly execute on its own pricing strategies. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of 0.01 %, which signifies that for every $100 of sales, it has a net operating income of $0.01.

Determining Tredegar's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Tredegar is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Tredegar's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Tredegar's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Tredegar's management efficiency

Tredegar has Return on Asset (ROA) of 0.0281 % which means that for every $100 of assets, it generated a profit of $0.0281. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of (0.1757) %, which implies that it produced no returns to current stockholders. Tredegar's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Tredegar manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The Tredegar's current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to -0.29. The Tredegar's current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to -0.09. At this time, Tredegar's Total Current Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Tredegar's current Deferred Long Term Asset Charges is estimated to increase to about 23.6 M, while Other Current Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 11.5 M.

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share	4.10	7.11
Tangible Book Value Per Share	2.90	4.67
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA	(2.54)	(2.41)
Price Book Value Ratio	1.07	1.33
Enterprise Value Multiple	(2.54)	(2.41)
Price Fair Value	1.07	1.33
Enterprise Value	300.9 M	482.4 M

At Tredegar, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.

Beta

0.842

Basic technical analysis of Tredegar Stock

As of the 30th of January, Tredegar has the Semi Deviation of 4.29, risk adjusted performance of 0.0308, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3602.49. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Tredegar, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Tredegar information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis to decide if Tredegar is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 7.87 per share. Given that Tredegar has jensen alpha of 0.0141, we advise you to double-check Tredegar's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Tredegar's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Tredegar insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Tredegar's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Tredegar insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

		Brickhouse Frasier W Ii over two weeks ago Disposition of 1317 shares by Brickhouse Frasier W Ii of Tredegar at 8.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Thomas Snead over three weeks ago Acquisition by Thomas Snead of 2873 shares of Tredegar at 7.83 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Gregory Pratt over a month ago Acquisition by Gregory Pratt of 6515 shares of Tredegar at 4.7 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Carl Tack over a month ago Acquisition by Carl Tack of 3142 shares of Tredegar at 7.16 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al over a month ago Acquisition by Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al of 500 shares of Tredegar at 7.95 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Kevin Donnelly over a month ago Acquisition by Kevin Donnelly of 29600 shares of Tredegar subject to Rule 16b-3
		Brickhouse Frasier W Ii over a month ago Acquisition by Brickhouse Frasier W Ii of 8754 shares of Tredegar subject to Rule 16b-3
		Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al over two months ago Acquisition by Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al of 500 shares of Tredegar at 7.0097 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Carl Tack over three months ago Acquisition by Carl Tack of 3142 shares of Tredegar at 7.16 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Carl Tack over three months ago Acquisition by Carl Tack of 4787 shares of Tredegar at 4.7 subject to Rule 16b-3
		John Gottwald over three months ago Acquisition by John Gottwald of 3096 shares of Tredegar at 9.89 subject to Rule 16b-3
		George Freeman over six months ago Acquisition by George Freeman of 4787 shares of Tredegar at 4.7 subject to Rule 16b-3

Tredegar's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Tredegar issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Tredegar uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Tredegar bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Tredegar has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

	TREEHOUSE FOODS INC Corp Bond US89469AAD63	View
	MPLX LP 4125 Corp Bond US55336VAK61	View
	MPLX LP 52 Corp Bond US55336VAL45	View
	BNP Paribas FRN Corp Bond USF1R15XK367	View
	MGM Resorts International Corp Bond US552953CD18	View

View All Tredegar Corporate Bonds

Understand Tredegar's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Tredegar's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.0308
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	0.1004
	Mean Deviation	1.91
	Semi Deviation	4.29
	Downside Deviation	4.47
	Coefficient Of Variation	3602.49
	Standard Deviation	3.32
	Variance	11.03
	Information Ratio	0.0022
	Jensen Alpha	0.0141
	Total Risk Alpha	(0.21)
	Sortino Ratio	0.0016
	Treynor Ratio	0.0904
	Maximum Drawdown	28.19
	Value At Risk	(4.23)
	Potential Upside	3.37
	Downside Variance	19.96
	Semi Variance	18.44
	Expected Short fall	(1.79)
	Skewness	(3.48)
	Kurtosis	21.68

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.0308
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	0.1004
	Mean Deviation	1.91
	Semi Deviation	4.29
	Downside Deviation	4.47
	Coefficient Of Variation	3602.49
	Standard Deviation	3.32
	Variance	11.03
	Information Ratio	0.0022
	Jensen Alpha	0.0141
	Total Risk Alpha	(0.21)
	Sortino Ratio	0.0016
	Treynor Ratio	0.0904
	Maximum Drawdown	28.19
	Value At Risk	(4.23)
	Potential Upside	3.37
	Downside Variance	19.96
	Semi Variance	18.44
	Expected Short fall	(1.79)
	Skewness	(3.48)
	Kurtosis	21.68

Consider Tredegar's intraday indicators

Tredegar intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Tredegar stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

	Accumulation Distribution	1945.65
	Daily Balance Of Power	0.5
	Rate Of Daily Change	1.02
	Day Median Price	7.82
	Day Typical Price	7.84
	Price Action Indicator	0.12
	Period Momentum Indicator	0.14

Tredegar Corporate Filings

F3	16th of January 2025 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock	View Verify
8K	15th of January 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about	View Verify
F4	6th of January 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities	View Verify
13A	14th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G	View Verify

Tredegar time-series forecasting models is one of many Tredegar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Tredegar's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Tredegar Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Tredegar that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Tredegar media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Tredegar internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Tredegar data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.

A primary focus of Tredegar news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Tredegar relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Tredegar's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Tredegar alpha.

Tredegar Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Tredegar can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.

Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.