Is Vacasa Stock a Good Investment?

Vacasa Investment Advice

VCSA

To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Vacasa Inc stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Vacasa Inc. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Vacasa in one of your diversified portfolios:

Examine Vacasa's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
Research Vacasa's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Vacasa navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
Consider the overall health of the Application Software space and any emerging trends that could impact Vacasa's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
Compare Vacasa's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Vacasa is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
Check if Vacasa pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
Review what financial analysts are saying about Vacasa's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.

It's important to note that investing in Vacasa Inc stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Vacasa Inc is a good investment.

Sell

Buy

Strong Sell

We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Vacasa. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Vacasa Inc is not overpriced, please validate all Vacasa fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, net income, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Please also confirm Vacasa Inc number of shares shorted to double-check your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Market Performance	Very Weak	Details
Volatility	Slightly risky	Details
Hype Condition	Over hyped	Details
Current Valuation	Undervalued	Details
Odds Of Distress	Very High	Details
Economic Sensitivity	Hyperactively responds to market trends	Details
Investor Sentiment	Alarmed	Details
Analyst Consensus	Buy	Details
Financial Strenth (F Score)	Healthy	Details
Financial Leverage	Not Rated	Details
Reporting Quality (M-Score)	Unlikely Manipulator	Details

Examine Vacasa Stock

Researching Vacasa's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.42. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vacasa Inc recorded a loss per share of 7.02. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 3rd of October 2023.

To determine if Vacasa is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Vacasa's research are outlined below:

	Vacasa Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
	Vacasa Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
	Vacasa Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
	Vacasa Inc currently holds 25.87 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Vacasa Inc has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Vacasa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
	The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.12 B. Net Loss for the year was (298.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 623.58 M.
	Vacasa Inc currently holds about 319.25 M in cash with (51.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.41.
	Roughly 71.0% of Vacasa outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
	Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Vacasa, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Vacasa Quarterly Good Will

171.86 Million

Vacasa uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Vacasa Inc. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Vacasa's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.

	12th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report	View
	14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report	View
	31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End	View
	12th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End	View
	30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report	View
	31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement	View

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Vacasa's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Vacasa's investors have experienced.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
2022-11-09	2022-09-30	0.07	0.04	-0.03	42
2023-08-08	2023-06-30	-0.09	-0.01	0.08	88
2023-05-09	2023-03-31	-0.26	-0.1	0.16	61
2022-08-10	2022-06-30	-0.2	0.02	0.22	110
2022-03-16	2021-12-31	-0.28	-0.06	0.22	78
2024-11-08	2024-09-30	2.7363	2.4524	-0.2839	10
2023-03-14	2022-12-31	-0.38	0.34	0.72	189
2024-08-09	2024-06-30	-1.91	-0.59	1.32	69

Know Vacasa's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Vacasa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vacasa Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Vacasa's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Vacasa's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.

		Shares
Stepstone Group Llc	2024-06-30	147.3 K
Pathstone Holdings Llc	2024-06-30	147 K
Kemnay Advisory Services Inc.	2024-09-30	126.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts	2024-06-30	89.8 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp	2024-09-30	79.5 K
Northern Trust Corp	2024-09-30	78.6 K
Guggenheim Capital Llc	2024-06-30	61.9 K
State Street Corp	2024-06-30	46.1 K
Harrell Investment Partners, Llc	2024-09-30	44.8 K
Silver Lake Group, L.l.c.	2024-06-30	3.1 M
Oaktree Capital Management Llc	2024-06-30	1.4 M

Note, although Vacasa's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vacasa's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 61.94 M.

Market Cap

109.31 Million

Vacasa's profitablity analysis

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets	(0.79)	(0.83)
Return On Capital Employed	(0.29)	(0.31)
Return On Assets	(0.45)	(0.47)
Return On Equity	(2.28)	(2.17)

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.1) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.19 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.19.

Determining Vacasa's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Vacasa is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Vacasa's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Vacasa's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Please note, the presentation of Vacasa's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Vacasa's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Vacasa's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Vacasa's management efficiency

Vacasa Inc has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0677) % which means that it has lost $0.0677 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.8563) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Vacasa's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Vacasa manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of November 21, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.83. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to -0.31. At present, Vacasa's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Current Assets Total is expected to grow to about 648.8 M, whereas Net Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to (96.7 M).

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share	17.02	14.34
Tangible Book Value Per Share	(6.45)	(6.77)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA	(0.09)	(0.09)
Price Book Value Ratio	0.76	0.80
Enterprise Value Multiple	(0.09)	(0.09)
Price Fair Value	0.76	0.80
Enterprise Value	43.6 M	41.4 M

Leadership at Vacasa emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.

Beta

0.58

Basic technical analysis of Vacasa Stock

As of the 21st of November, Vacasa has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0184, coefficient of variation of 7743.91, and Semi Deviation of 4.98. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Vacasa Inc, as well as the relationship between them.

Vacasa's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Vacasa insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Vacasa's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Vacasa insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

		Mossytree Inc. over two months ago Disposition of 50000 shares by Mossytree Inc. of Vacasa at 0.74 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Mossytree Inc. over two months ago Disposition of 5000 shares by Mossytree Inc. of Vacasa at 8.1 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Mossytree Inc. over two months ago Disposition of 50000 shares by Mossytree Inc. of Vacasa subject to Rule 16b-3
		Liu Alan over three months ago Insider Trading
		Mossytree Inc. over three months ago Disposition of 1000000 shares by Mossytree Inc. of Vacasa subject to Rule 16b-3
		Robert Greyber over three months ago Acquisition by Robert Greyber of 180577 shares of Vacasa subject to Rule 16b-3
		Levin Benjamin over three months ago Acquisition by Levin Benjamin of 20134 shares of Vacasa subject to Rule 16b-3
		Parks Jeffrey T over six months ago Acquisition by Parks Jeffrey T of 20134 shares of Vacasa subject to Rule 16b-3
		Gracey Craig over six months ago Disposition of tradable shares by Gracey Craig of Vacasa subject to Rule 16b-3
		Parks Jeffrey T over a year ago Vacasa exotic insider transaction detected
		Terrill Chris over a year ago Acquisition by Terrill Chris of 1306 shares of Vacasa subject to Rule 16b-3
		Mossytree Inc over a year ago Sale by Mossytree Inc of 100000 shares of Vacasa

Vacasa's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Vacasa issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Vacasa Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Vacasa bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Vacasa Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

	Dana 575 percent Corp Bond US235822AB96	View
	Boeing Co 2196 Corp Bond US097023DG73	View
	MPLX LP 52 Corp Bond US55336VAL45	View
	Morgan Stanley 3971 Corp Bond US61744YAL20	View
	AerCap Global Aviation Corp Bond US00773HAA59	View

View All Vacasa Corporate Bonds

Understand Vacasa's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Vacasa's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.0184
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	0.0359
	Mean Deviation	4.23
	Semi Deviation	4.98
	Downside Deviation	5.14
	Coefficient Of Variation	7743.91
	Standard Deviation	5.79
	Variance	33.54
	Information Ratio	(0)
	Jensen Alpha	(0.15)
	Total Risk Alpha	(0.59)
	Sortino Ratio	(0)
	Treynor Ratio	0.0259
	Maximum Drawdown	26.42
	Value At Risk	(8.19)
	Potential Upside	10.82
	Downside Variance	26.41
	Semi Variance	24.78
	Expected Short fall	(4.58)
	Skewness	0.7403
	Kurtosis	1.11

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.0184
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	0.0359
	Mean Deviation	4.23
	Semi Deviation	4.98
	Downside Deviation	5.14
	Coefficient Of Variation	7743.91
	Standard Deviation	5.79
	Variance	33.54
	Information Ratio	(0)
	Jensen Alpha	(0.15)
	Total Risk Alpha	(0.59)
	Sortino Ratio	(0)
	Treynor Ratio	0.0259
	Maximum Drawdown	26.42
	Value At Risk	(8.19)
	Potential Upside	10.82
	Downside Variance	26.41
	Semi Variance	24.78
	Expected Short fall	(4.58)
	Skewness	0.7403
	Kurtosis	1.11

Consider Vacasa's intraday indicators

Vacasa intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Vacasa stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

	Accumulation Distribution	4123.29
	Daily Balance Of Power	0.7037
	Rate Of Daily Change	1.07
	Day Median Price	2.81
	Day Typical Price	2.84
	Price Action Indicator	0.2
	Period Momentum Indicator	0.19
	Relative Strength Index	55.42

Vacasa Corporate Filings

10Q	8th of November 2024 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations	View Verify
8K	7th of November 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about	View Verify
	11th of September 2024 Other Reports	View Verify
	30th of August 2024 Other Reports	View Verify

Vacasa time-series forecasting models is one of many Vacasa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Vacasa's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Vacasa Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Vacasa that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Vacasa media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Vacasa internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Vacasa data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.

A primary focus of Vacasa news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Vacasa relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Vacasa's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Vacasa alpha.

Vacasa Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Vacasa can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.

Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Vacasa Corporate Management

Eric Breon	CoFounder Director	Profile
Jeff Flitton	Chief Officer	Profile
Ryan CFA	Senior Development	Profile
Robert Milne	Senior Operations	Profile
Craig Gracey	Chief Controller	Profile
Craig Smith	Chief Officer	Profile
Lisa Jurinka	Chief Officer	Profile

When determining whether Vacasa Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vacasa's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vacasa Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vacasa Inc Stock: