Automatic Data (Brazil) Market Value

ADPR34 Stock  BRL 73.24  0.76  1.03%   
Automatic Data's market value is the price at which a share of Automatic Data trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Automatic Data Processing investors about its performance. Automatic Data is trading at 73.24 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 1.03% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 74.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Automatic Data Processing and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Automatic Data over a given investment horizon. Check out Automatic Data Correlation, Automatic Data Volatility and Automatic Data Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Automatic Data.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Automatic Data's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Automatic Data is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Automatic Data's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Automatic Data 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Automatic Data's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Automatic Data.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Automatic Data on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Automatic Data Processing or generate 0.0% return on investment in Automatic Data over 30 days. Automatic Data is related to or competes with Fras Le, BTG Pactual, Telefonaktiebolaget, Cable One, Randon SA, and Alphabet. Automatic Data Processing, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management solutions worldwide More

Automatic Data Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Automatic Data's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Automatic Data Processing upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Automatic Data Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Automatic Data's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Automatic Data's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Automatic Data historical prices to predict the future Automatic Data's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.8273.2474.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.9283.5784.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.1274.5475.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
72.0973.5575.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Automatic Data. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Automatic Data's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Automatic Data's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Automatic Data Processing.

Automatic Data Processing Backtested Returns

Automatic Data appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Automatic Data Processing secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which signifies that the company had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Automatic Data Processing, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Automatic Data's Mean Deviation of 0.7777, risk adjusted performance of 0.1749, and Downside Deviation of 1.52 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Automatic Data holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Automatic Data's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Automatic Data is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Automatic Data's treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Automatic Data's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.14  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Automatic Data Processing has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Automatic Data time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Automatic Data Processing price movement. The serial correlation of -0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Automatic Data price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.14
Spearman Rank Test-0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.33

Automatic Data Processing lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Automatic Data stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Automatic Data's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Automatic Data returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Automatic Data has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Automatic Data regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Automatic Data stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Automatic Data stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Automatic Data stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Automatic Data Lagged Returns

When evaluating Automatic Data's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Automatic Data stock have on its future price. Automatic Data autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Automatic Data autocorrelation shows the relationship between Automatic Data stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Automatic Data Processing.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Automatic Stock

When determining whether Automatic Data Processing is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Automatic Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Automatic Data Processing Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Automatic Data Processing Stock:
Check out Automatic Data Correlation, Automatic Data Volatility and Automatic Data Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Automatic Data.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Automatic Data technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Automatic Data technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Automatic Data trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...