Ardagh Metal Packaging Stock Market Value
| AMBP Stock | USD 4.80 0.09 1.84% |
| Symbol | Ardagh |
Can Diversified Metals & Mining industry sustain growth momentum? Does Ardagh have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ardagh Metal. If investors know Ardagh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Ardagh Metal demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.75 | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share (0.01) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.088 |
Ardagh Metal Packaging's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Ardagh's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Ardagh Metal's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Ardagh Metal's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Ardagh Metal's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ardagh Metal represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Ardagh Metal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Ardagh Metal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ardagh Metal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ardagh Metal.
| 11/14/2025 |
| 02/12/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ardagh Metal on November 14, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ardagh Metal Packaging or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ardagh Metal over 90 days. Ardagh Metal is related to or competes with O I, PHINIA, National Vision, Adient PLC, Goodyear Tire, Under Armour, and TriMas. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil More
Ardagh Metal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ardagh Metal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ardagh Metal Packaging upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2593 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.13 |
Ardagh Metal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ardagh Metal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ardagh Metal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ardagh Metal historical prices to predict the future Ardagh Metal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.253 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4921 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3752 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2321 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.01 |
Ardagh Metal February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.253 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.02 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 327.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.13 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2593 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4921 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3752 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2321 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.01 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.9 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.68) | |||
| Skewness | (0.39) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.16 |
Ardagh Metal Packaging Backtested Returns
Ardagh Metal appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Ardagh Metal Packaging secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.28, which signifies that the company had a 0.28 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Ardagh Metal Packaging, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Ardagh Metal's mean deviation of 1.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.253 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Ardagh Metal holds a performance score of 22. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.53, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ardagh Metal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ardagh Metal is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Ardagh Metal's potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Ardagh Metal's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.70 |
Good predictability
Ardagh Metal Packaging has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ardagh Metal time series from 14th of November 2025 to 29th of December 2025 and 29th of December 2025 to 12th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ardagh Metal Packaging price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Ardagh Metal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.7 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.84 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.05 |
Pair Trading with Ardagh Metal
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ardagh Metal position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ardagh Metal will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Ardagh Stock
Moving against Ardagh Stock
| 0.86 | AMY | American Manganese | PairCorr |
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| 0.69 | T2G | TRADEGATE | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | VA7A | VERISK ANLYTCS A Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | 3TY | TITAN MACHINERY | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ardagh Metal could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ardagh Metal when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ardagh Metal - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ardagh Metal Packaging to buy it.
The correlation of Ardagh Metal is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ardagh Metal moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ardagh Metal Packaging moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ardagh Metal can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Ardagh Stock Analysis
When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.