Ardagh Metal Packaging Stock Technical Analysis
| AMBP Stock | USD 4.89 0.02 0.41% |
As of the 11th of February 2026, Ardagh Metal shows the mean deviation of 1.22, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2459. Ardagh Metal Packaging technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Ardagh Metal Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Ardagh, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ArdaghArdagh Metal's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Can Diversified Metals & Mining industry sustain growth momentum? Does Ardagh have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ardagh Metal. If investors know Ardagh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Ardagh Metal demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Ardagh Metal Packaging's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Ardagh's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Ardagh Metal's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Ardagh Metal's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Ardagh Metal's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ardagh Metal represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Ardagh Metal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Ardagh Metal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ardagh Metal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ardagh Metal.
| 11/13/2025 |
| 02/11/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ardagh Metal on November 13, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ardagh Metal Packaging or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ardagh Metal over 90 days. Ardagh Metal is related to or competes with O I, PHINIA, National Vision, Adient PLC, Goodyear Tire, Under Armour, and TriMas. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil More
Ardagh Metal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ardagh Metal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ardagh Metal Packaging upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2429 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.35 |
Ardagh Metal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ardagh Metal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ardagh Metal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ardagh Metal historical prices to predict the future Ardagh Metal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2459 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.471 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3067 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2075 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.29 |
Ardagh Metal February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2459 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.3 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 329.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.91 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2429 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.471 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3067 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2075 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.29 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.60) | |||
| Skewness | (0.57) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.83 |
Ardagh Metal Packaging Backtested Returns
Ardagh Metal appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Ardagh Metal Packaging secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.3, which signifies that the company had a 0.3 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing Ardagh Metal's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.52% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Ardagh Metal's risk adjusted performance of 0.2459, and Mean Deviation of 1.22 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Ardagh Metal holds a performance score of 24. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.39, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ardagh Metal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ardagh Metal is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Ardagh Metal's potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Ardagh Metal's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.74 |
Good predictability
Ardagh Metal Packaging has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ardagh Metal time series from 13th of November 2025 to 28th of December 2025 and 28th of December 2025 to 11th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ardagh Metal Packaging price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Ardagh Metal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.74 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.81 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.06 |
Ardagh Metal technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Ardagh Metal Packaging Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Ardagh Metal Packaging across different markets.
About Ardagh Metal Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Ardagh Metal Packaging on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ardagh Metal Packaging based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Ardagh Metal Packaging price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Ardagh Metal Packaging. By analyzing Ardagh Metal's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ardagh Metal's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Ardagh Metal specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Ardagh Metal February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Ardagh help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ardagh from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Ardagh charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2459 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.3 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 329.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.91 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2429 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.471 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3067 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2075 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.29 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.60) | |||
| Skewness | (0.57) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.83 |
Ardagh Metal February 11, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ardagh stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 9,694 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.25) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 4.90 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 4.90 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) |
Additional Tools for Ardagh Stock Analysis
When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.