Arrival Stock Market Value
| ARVLF Stock | 0.0001 0.0003 75.00% |
| Symbol | Arrival |
Arrival Price To Book Ratio
Is Auto Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arrival. If investors know Arrival will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arrival listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Arrival is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arrival that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arrival's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arrival's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arrival's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arrival's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arrival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arrival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arrival's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Arrival 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arrival's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arrival.
| 05/28/2025 |
| 12/24/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Arrival on May 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arrival or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arrival over 210 days. Arrival is entity of United States. It is traded as Stock on NASDAQ exchange. More
Arrival Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arrival's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arrival upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 62.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2054 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 490.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (66.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 200.0 |
Arrival Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arrival's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arrival's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arrival historical prices to predict the future Arrival's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1546 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 17.48 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 9.73 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2599 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.81) |
Arrival Backtested Returns
Arrival is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Arrival secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which signifies that the company had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down and interpolate twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 17.08% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Arrival Mean Deviation of 46.08, risk adjusted performance of 0.1546, and Downside Deviation of 62.51 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Arrival holds a performance score of 17 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -20.12, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Arrival are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Arrival is expected to outperform it. Use Arrival treynor ratio and the relationship between the downside variance and day typical price , to analyze future returns on Arrival.
Auto-correlation | -0.04 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Arrival has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arrival time series from 28th of May 2025 to 10th of September 2025 and 10th of September 2025 to 24th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arrival price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Arrival price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.04 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.3 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Arrival lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Arrival stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Arrival's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Arrival returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Arrival has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Arrival regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Arrival stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Arrival stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Arrival stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Arrival Lagged Returns
When evaluating Arrival's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Arrival stock have on its future price. Arrival autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Arrival autocorrelation shows the relationship between Arrival stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Arrival.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Check out Arrival Correlation, Arrival Volatility and Arrival Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Arrival. For more detail on how to invest in Arrival Stock please use our How to Invest in Arrival guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Arrival technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.