First Busey Corp Stock Market Value
BUSE Stock | USD 26.69 0.24 0.89% |
Symbol | First |
First Busey Corp Price To Book Ratio
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Busey. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Busey listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.019 | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 1.95 | Revenue Per Share 7.943 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.093 |
The market value of First Busey Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Busey's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Busey's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Busey's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Busey's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Busey's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Busey is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Busey's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
First Busey 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Busey's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Busey.
10/30/2024 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Busey on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Busey Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Busey over 30 days. First Busey is related to or competes with Home Federal, First Financial, First Northwest, First Capital, QCR Holdings, ChoiceOne Financial, and SmartFinancial,. First Busey Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Busey Bank that provides retail and commercial banking ... More
First Busey Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Busey's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Busey Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 1.62 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 14.88 | |||
Value At Risk | (2.61) | |||
Potential Upside | 3.45 |
First Busey Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Busey's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Busey's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Busey historical prices to predict the future First Busey's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0251 | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.18) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.29) | |||
Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.0227 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Busey's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Busey Corp Backtested Returns
At this point, First Busey is very steady. First Busey Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0028, which denotes the company had a 0.0028% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Busey Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First Busey's Coefficient Of Variation of 4138.97, downside deviation of 1.62, and Mean Deviation of 1.5 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0064%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.94, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, First Busey will likely underperform. First Busey Corp right now shows a risk of 2.27%. Please confirm First Busey Corp treynor ratio, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if First Busey Corp will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.73 |
Good predictability
First Busey Corp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Busey time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Busey Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current First Busey price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.73 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.41 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.13 |
First Busey Corp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is First Busey stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting First Busey's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of First Busey returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that First Busey has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
First Busey regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If First Busey stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if First Busey stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in First Busey stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
First Busey Lagged Returns
When evaluating First Busey's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of First Busey stock have on its future price. First Busey autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, First Busey autocorrelation shows the relationship between First Busey stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in First Busey Corp.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether First Busey Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Busey's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Busey's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out First Busey Correlation, First Busey Volatility and First Busey Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on First Busey. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
First Busey technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.