Gotham Absolute Return Fund Market Value

GARIX Fund  USD 20.41  0.07  0.34%   
Gotham Absolute's market value is the price at which a share of Gotham Absolute trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gotham Absolute Return investors about its performance. Gotham Absolute is trading at 20.41 as of the 1st of February 2025; that is 0.34 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 20.48.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gotham Absolute Return and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gotham Absolute over a given investment horizon. Check out Gotham Absolute Correlation, Gotham Absolute Volatility and Gotham Absolute Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gotham Absolute.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gotham Absolute's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gotham Absolute is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gotham Absolute's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gotham Absolute 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gotham Absolute's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gotham Absolute.
0.00
01/02/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gotham Absolute on January 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gotham Absolute Return or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gotham Absolute over 30 days. Gotham Absolute is related to or competes with Retirement Living, Tiaa Cref, Sierra Core, Voya Retirement, Lifestyle, and Transamerica Cleartrack. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing under normal circumstances in long and short positions o... More

Gotham Absolute Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gotham Absolute's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gotham Absolute Return upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gotham Absolute Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gotham Absolute's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gotham Absolute's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gotham Absolute historical prices to predict the future Gotham Absolute's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1420.4122.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.5620.8323.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.4419.7121.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.8020.8923.97
Details

Gotham Absolute Return Backtested Returns

Gotham Absolute Return holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0992, which attests that the entity had a -0.0992 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gotham Absolute Return exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gotham Absolute's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.79), risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Standard Deviation of 2.27 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.3, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Gotham Absolute's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gotham Absolute is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Gotham Absolute Return has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gotham Absolute time series from 2nd of January 2025 to 17th of January 2025 and 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gotham Absolute Return price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Gotham Absolute price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test-0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Gotham Absolute Return lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gotham Absolute mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gotham Absolute's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gotham Absolute returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gotham Absolute has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gotham Absolute regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gotham Absolute mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gotham Absolute mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gotham Absolute mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gotham Absolute Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gotham Absolute's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gotham Absolute mutual fund have on its future price. Gotham Absolute autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gotham Absolute autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gotham Absolute mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gotham Absolute Return.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gotham Mutual Fund

Gotham Absolute financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gotham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gotham with respect to the benefits of owning Gotham Absolute security.
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