Geron Stock Market Value
| GERN Stock | USD 4.07 0.05 1.24% |
| Symbol | Geron |
Geron Price To Book Ratio
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geron. If investors know Geron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geron listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.32) | Revenue Per Share 0.047 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 171.384 | Return On Assets (0.30) | Return On Equity (0.69) |
The market value of Geron is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geron's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geron's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geron's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geron's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geron's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Geron 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Geron's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Geron.
| 02/29/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Geron on February 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Geron or generate 0.0% return on investment in Geron over 270 days. Geron is related to or competes with Viking Therapeutics, TG Therapeutics, X4 Pharmaceuticals, PDS Biotechnology, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Zura Bio, and Enveric Biosciences. Geron Corporation, a late-stage clinical biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of ... More
Geron Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Geron's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Geron upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.13) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.17 |
Geron Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Geron's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Geron's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Geron historical prices to predict the future Geron's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.57) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.1) |
Geron Backtested Returns
Geron holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0573, which attests that the entity had a -0.0573% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Geron exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Geron's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), market risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Standard Deviation of 2.91 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.18, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Geron will likely underperform. At this point, Geron has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to check out Geron's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Geron performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.69 |
Very good reverse predictability
Geron has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Geron time series from 29th of February 2024 to 13th of July 2024 and 13th of July 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Geron price movement. The serial correlation of -0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Geron price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.69 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.78 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.07 |
Geron lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Geron stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Geron's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Geron returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Geron has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Geron regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Geron stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Geron stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Geron stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Geron Lagged Returns
When evaluating Geron's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Geron stock have on its future price. Geron autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Geron autocorrelation shows the relationship between Geron stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Geron.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
When determining whether Geron offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geron's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geron Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geron Stock:
Check out Geron Correlation, Geron Volatility and Geron Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Geron. To learn how to invest in Geron Stock, please use our How to Invest in Geron guide.You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Geron technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.