Warrior Met Coal Stock Market Value
| HCC Stock | USD 89.55 1.38 1.57% |
| Symbol | Warrior |
Warrior Met Coal Price To Book Ratio
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Warrior Met. If investors know Warrior will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Warrior Met listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 0.66 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 |
The market value of Warrior Met Coal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Warrior that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Warrior Met's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Warrior Met's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Warrior Met's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Warrior Met's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Warrior Met's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Warrior Met is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Warrior Met's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Warrior Met 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Warrior Met's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Warrior Met.
| 12/04/2025 |
| 01/03/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Warrior Met on December 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Warrior Met Coal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Warrior Met over 30 days. Warrior Met is related to or competes with Peabody Energy, Alliance Resource, Core Natural, Solaris Energy, CVR Energy, Transocean, and Enphase Energy. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. produces and exports non-thermal metallurgical coal for the steel industry More
Warrior Met Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Warrior Met's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Warrior Met Coal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1408 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.43 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.77 |
Warrior Met Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Warrior Met's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Warrior Met's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Warrior Met historical prices to predict the future Warrior Met's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1207 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5105 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2825 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.217 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5266 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Warrior Met's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Warrior Met Coal Backtested Returns
Warrior Met appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Warrior Met Coal shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By examining Warrior Met's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.61% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Warrior Met's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.5366, mean deviation of 2.12, and Downside Deviation of 2.38 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Warrior Met holds a performance score of 12. The firm maintains a market beta of 1.08, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Warrior Met returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Warrior Met is expected to follow. Please check Warrior Met's sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether Warrior Met's historical returns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.12 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Warrior Met Coal has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Warrior Met time series from 4th of December 2025 to 19th of December 2025 and 19th of December 2025 to 3rd of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Warrior Met Coal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Warrior Met price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.12 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.66 |
Warrior Met Coal lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Warrior Met stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Warrior Met's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Warrior Met returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Warrior Met has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Warrior Met regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Warrior Met stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Warrior Met stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Warrior Met stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Warrior Met Lagged Returns
When evaluating Warrior Met's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Warrior Met stock have on its future price. Warrior Met autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Warrior Met autocorrelation shows the relationship between Warrior Met stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Warrior Met Coal.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Check out Warrior Met Correlation, Warrior Met Volatility and Warrior Met Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Warrior Met. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Warrior Met technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.