Henderson European Focus Fund Market Value

HFECX Fund  USD 43.01  0.28  0.66%   
Henderson European's market value is the price at which a share of Henderson European trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Henderson European Focus investors about its performance. Henderson European is trading at 43.01 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.66 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 42.73.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Henderson European Focus and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Henderson European over a given investment horizon. Check out Henderson European Correlation, Henderson European Volatility and Henderson European Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Henderson European.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Henderson European's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Henderson European is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Henderson European's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Henderson European 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Henderson European's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Henderson European.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Henderson European on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Henderson European Focus or generate 0.0% return on investment in Henderson European over 720 days. Henderson European is related to or competes with Henderson European, Invesco European, Henderson Global, and Oppenheimer Developing. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of European companies More

Henderson European Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Henderson European's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Henderson European Focus upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Henderson European Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Henderson European's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Henderson European's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Henderson European historical prices to predict the future Henderson European's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Henderson European's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.0943.0143.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.6143.5344.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.1742.0943.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.6542.9243.18
Details

Henderson European Focus Backtested Returns

Henderson European Focus holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.13, which attests that the entity had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Henderson European Focus exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Henderson European's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.23), risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Standard Deviation of 0.9271 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.48, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Henderson European's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Henderson European is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.20  

Weak predictability

Henderson European Focus has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Henderson European time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Henderson European Focus price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Henderson European price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.2
Spearman Rank Test0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.76

Henderson European Focus lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Henderson European mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Henderson European's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Henderson European returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Henderson European has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Henderson European regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Henderson European mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Henderson European mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Henderson European mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Henderson European Lagged Returns

When evaluating Henderson European's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Henderson European mutual fund have on its future price. Henderson European autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Henderson European autocorrelation shows the relationship between Henderson European mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Henderson European Focus.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Henderson Mutual Fund

Henderson European financial ratios help investors to determine whether Henderson Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Henderson with respect to the benefits of owning Henderson European security.
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