Harley Davidson Stock Market Value
| HOG Stock | USD 19.78 0.80 3.89% |
| Symbol | Harley |
Can Motorcycle Manufacturers industry sustain growth momentum? Does Harley have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harley Davidson. Market participants price Harley higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Harley Davidson demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.407 | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 2.73 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) |
Investors evaluate Harley Davidson using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Harley Davidson's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Harley Davidson's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harley Davidson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harley Davidson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Harley Davidson's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Harley Davidson 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Harley Davidson's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Harley Davidson.
| 11/14/2025 |
| 02/12/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Harley Davidson on November 14, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Harley Davidson or generate 0.0% return on investment in Harley Davidson over 90 days. Harley Davidson is related to or competes with LCI Industries, Polaris Industries, MI Homes, Rush Enterprises, Garrett Motion, Abercrombie Fitch, and Red Rock. The company operates in two segments, Motorcycles and Related Products and Financial Services More
Harley Davidson Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Harley Davidson's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Harley Davidson upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.96 |
Harley Davidson Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Harley Davidson's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Harley Davidson's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Harley Davidson historical prices to predict the future Harley Davidson's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.50) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.23) |
Harley Davidson February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.22) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (686.61) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Variance | 3.52 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.50) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.96 | |||
| Skewness | 0.5132 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.3189 |
Harley Davidson Backtested Returns
Harley Davidson holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.14, which attests that the entity had a -0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Harley Davidson exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Harley Davidson's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), standard deviation of 1.88, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.22) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.21, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Harley Davidson will likely underperform. At this point, Harley Davidson has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to check out Harley Davidson's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if Harley Davidson performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.69 |
Good predictability
Harley Davidson has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Harley Davidson time series from 14th of November 2025 to 29th of December 2025 and 29th of December 2025 to 12th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Harley Davidson price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Harley Davidson price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.69 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.53 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.25 |
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Check out Harley Davidson Correlation, Harley Davidson Volatility and Harley Davidson Performance module to complement your research on Harley Davidson. For more detail on how to invest in Harley Stock please use our How to Invest in Harley Davidson guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Harley Davidson technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.