Harley Davidson Stock Technical Analysis
| HOG Stock | USD 20.30 0.48 2.31% |
As of the 26th of January, Harley Davidson retains the Standard Deviation of 2.0, risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.27). Harley Davidson technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Harley Davidson market risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and value at risk to decide if Harley Davidson is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 20.3 per share. Given that Harley Davidson has information ratio of (0.23), we strongly advise you to confirm Harley Davidson's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Harley Davidson Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Harley, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to HarleyHarley Davidson's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Harley Davidson Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 26.5 | Buy | 16 | Odds |
Most Harley analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Harley stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Harley Davidson, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Harley conference calls.
Is Motorcycle Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harley Davidson. If investors know Harley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Harley Davidson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.407 | Dividend Share 0.713 | Earnings Share 4.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.165 |
The market value of Harley Davidson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harley Davidson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harley Davidson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harley Davidson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harley Davidson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harley Davidson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harley Davidson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harley Davidson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Harley Davidson 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Harley Davidson's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Harley Davidson.
| 10/28/2025 |
| 01/26/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Harley Davidson on October 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Harley Davidson or generate 0.0% return on investment in Harley Davidson over 90 days. Harley Davidson is related to or competes with LCI Industries, Polaris Industries, MI Homes, Rush Enterprises, Garrett Motion, Abercrombie Fitch, and Red Rock. The company operates in two segments, Motorcycles and Related Products and Financial Services More
Harley Davidson Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Harley Davidson's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Harley Davidson upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.41 |
Harley Davidson Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Harley Davidson's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Harley Davidson's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Harley Davidson historical prices to predict the future Harley Davidson's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.49) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.58) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.28) |
Harley Davidson January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.27) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (525.07) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Variance | 4.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.49) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.58) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.28) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.41 | |||
| Skewness | (0.15) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8741 |
Harley Davidson Backtested Returns
Harley Davidson holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.23, which attests that the entity had a -0.23 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Harley Davidson exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Harley Davidson's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.27), standard deviation of 2.0, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.42, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Harley Davidson will likely underperform. At this point, Harley Davidson has a negative expected return of -0.45%. Please make sure to check out Harley Davidson's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to decide if Harley Davidson performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.53 |
Modest predictability
Harley Davidson has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Harley Davidson time series from 28th of October 2025 to 12th of December 2025 and 12th of December 2025 to 26th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Harley Davidson price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Harley Davidson price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.53 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.44 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.14 |
Harley Davidson technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Harley Davidson Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Harley Davidson volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Harley Davidson Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Harley Davidson on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Harley Davidson based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Harley Davidson price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Harley Davidson. By analyzing Harley Davidson's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Harley Davidson's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Harley Davidson specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0184 | 0.023 | 0.0207 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.9 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
Harley Davidson January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Harley help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Harley from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Harley charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.27) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (525.07) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Variance | 4.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.49) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.58) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.28) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.41 | |||
| Skewness | (0.15) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8741 |
Harley Davidson January 26, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Harley stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.74) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 20.63 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 20.52 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.56) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.65 |
Complementary Tools for Harley Stock analysis
When running Harley Davidson's price analysis, check to measure Harley Davidson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harley Davidson is operating at the current time. Most of Harley Davidson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harley Davidson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harley Davidson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harley Davidson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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