Lloyds Banking (Brazil) Market Value

L1YG34 Stock  BRL 16.01  0.21  1.29%   
Lloyds Banking's market value is the price at which a share of Lloyds Banking trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lloyds Banking Group investors about its performance. Lloyds Banking is trading at 16.01 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 1.29 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 16.22.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lloyds Banking Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lloyds Banking over a given investment horizon. Check out Lloyds Banking Correlation, Lloyds Banking Volatility and Lloyds Banking Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lloyds Banking.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Lloyds Banking's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lloyds Banking is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lloyds Banking's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lloyds Banking 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lloyds Banking's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lloyds Banking.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lloyds Banking on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lloyds Banking Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lloyds Banking over 30 days. Lloyds Banking is related to or competes with Banco Santander, BTG Pactual, Companhia Paranaense, Randon SA, Diagnsticos, ATMA Participaes, and Alphabet. More

Lloyds Banking Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lloyds Banking's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lloyds Banking Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lloyds Banking Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lloyds Banking's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lloyds Banking's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lloyds Banking historical prices to predict the future Lloyds Banking's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1516.0117.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3614.2216.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8416.7018.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.7416.1116.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lloyds Banking. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lloyds Banking's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lloyds Banking's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lloyds Banking Group.

Lloyds Banking Group Backtested Returns

Lloyds Banking Group has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0517, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0517% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lloyds Banking exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lloyds Banking's Mean Deviation of 1.32, risk adjusted performance of 0.0067, and Downside Deviation of 2.24 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.31, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Lloyds Banking's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lloyds Banking is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Lloyds Banking Group has a negative expected return of -0.0963%. Please make sure to verify Lloyds Banking's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Lloyds Banking Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.06  

Very weak reverse predictability

Lloyds Banking Group has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lloyds Banking time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lloyds Banking Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Lloyds Banking price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.06
Spearman Rank Test-0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Lloyds Banking Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lloyds Banking stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lloyds Banking's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lloyds Banking returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lloyds Banking has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lloyds Banking regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lloyds Banking stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lloyds Banking stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lloyds Banking stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lloyds Banking Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lloyds Banking's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lloyds Banking stock have on its future price. Lloyds Banking autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lloyds Banking autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lloyds Banking stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lloyds Banking Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lloyds Stock

When determining whether Lloyds Banking Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lloyds Banking's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lloyds Banking's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lloyds Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Lloyds Banking Correlation, Lloyds Banking Volatility and Lloyds Banking Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lloyds Banking.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Lloyds Banking technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Lloyds Banking technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Lloyds Banking trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...