Loncor Gold Stock Market Value
| LONCF Stock | USD 0.96 0.01 1.03% |
| Symbol | Loncor |
Loncor Gold 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Loncor Gold's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Loncor Gold.
| 12/09/2025 |
| 01/08/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Loncor Gold on December 9, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Loncor Gold or generate 0.0% return on investment in Loncor Gold over 30 days. Loncor Gold is related to or competes with Mayfair Gold, 1911 Gold, Tudor Gold, Minera Alamos, and Goldshore Resources. Loncor Gold Inc., a gold exploration company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of precious metal... More
Loncor Gold Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Loncor Gold's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Loncor Gold upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0411 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.78 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.13) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.26 |
Loncor Gold Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Loncor Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Loncor Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Loncor Gold historical prices to predict the future Loncor Gold's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0664 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1271 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.031 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7979 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Loncor Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Loncor Gold Backtested Returns
At this point, Loncor Gold is very risky. Loncor Gold has Sharpe Ratio of 0.12, which conveys that the firm had a 0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Loncor Gold, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Loncor Gold's Mean Deviation of 1.17, risk adjusted performance of 0.0664, and Downside Deviation of 2.4 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. Loncor Gold has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.17, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Loncor Gold's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Loncor Gold is expected to be smaller as well. Loncor Gold right now secures a risk of 1.67%. Please verify Loncor Gold semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if Loncor Gold will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | -0.41 |
Modest reverse predictability
Loncor Gold has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Loncor Gold time series from 9th of December 2025 to 24th of December 2025 and 24th of December 2025 to 8th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Loncor Gold price movement. The serial correlation of -0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Loncor Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.41 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.22 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Loncor Gold lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Loncor Gold otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Loncor Gold's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Loncor Gold returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Loncor Gold has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Loncor Gold regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Loncor Gold otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Loncor Gold otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Loncor Gold otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Loncor Gold Lagged Returns
When evaluating Loncor Gold's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Loncor Gold otc stock have on its future price. Loncor Gold autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Loncor Gold autocorrelation shows the relationship between Loncor Gold otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Loncor Gold.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Loncor OTC Stock
Loncor Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Loncor OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Loncor with respect to the benefits of owning Loncor Gold security.