Msc Industrial Direct Stock Market Value
| MSM Stock | USD 95.56 0.61 0.64% |
| Symbol | MSC |
Will Trading Companies & Distributors sector continue expanding? Could MSC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MSC Industrial. Expected growth trajectory for MSC significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every MSC Industrial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate MSC Industrial Direct using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MSC Industrial's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MSC Industrial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MSC Industrial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MSC Industrial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, MSC Industrial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
MSC Industrial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MSC Industrial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MSC Industrial.
| 11/08/2025 |
| 02/06/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in MSC Industrial on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MSC Industrial Direct or generate 0.0% return on investment in MSC Industrial over 90 days. MSC Industrial is related to or competes with Powell Industries, SiteOne Landscape, Grupo Aeroportuario, Brinks, Enersys, Maximus, and Alaska Air. MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes metalworking and maintenance, repair, and o... More
MSC Industrial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MSC Industrial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MSC Industrial Direct upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0473 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.04 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.15) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.5 |
MSC Industrial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MSC Industrial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MSC Industrial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MSC Industrial historical prices to predict the future MSC Industrial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0818 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.095 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0487 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1808 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MSC Industrial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MSC Industrial February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0818 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1908 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1059.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Variance | 3.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0473 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.095 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0487 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1808 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.04 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.15) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.42) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3021 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8873 |
MSC Industrial Direct Backtested Returns
As of now, MSC Stock is very steady. MSC Industrial Direct retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0944, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0944 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for MSC Industrial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify MSC Industrial's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1908, mean deviation of 1.39, and Semi Deviation of 1.58 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. MSC Industrial has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.94, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. MSC Industrial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, MSC Industrial is expected to follow. MSC Industrial Direct currently owns a risk of 1.91%. Please verify MSC Industrial Direct value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to decide if MSC Industrial Direct will be following its current price history.
Auto-correlation | -0.05 |
Very weak reverse predictability
MSC Industrial Direct has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MSC Industrial time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MSC Industrial Direct price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current MSC Industrial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.05 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 12.15 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out MSC Industrial Correlation, MSC Industrial Volatility and MSC Industrial Performance module to complement your research on MSC Industrial. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
MSC Industrial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.