MSC Industrial Direct Stock Performance
| MSM Stock | USD 103.01 1.81 1.79% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0100
6 · Contained
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of MSC Industrial Direct is weaker than 6% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. This score becomes more informative when compared with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Recent data suggests MSC Industrial is converting risk into modest positive returns, a constructive signal if sustained. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.94 | Five Day Return 2.42 | Year To Date Return 24.86 | Ten Year Return 38.76 | All Time Return 765.7 |
Forward Dividend Yield 3.4% | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 3.48 | Dividend Date 2026-04-22 |
1 | Disposition of tradable shares by Aarnes Robert B of MSC Industrial subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/10/2026 |
2 | Insider Trading | 03/02/2026 |
3 | Countdown to MSC Industrial Q 2 Earnings A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS | 03/27/2026 |
4 | Disposition of tradable shares by Rudina Seseri of MSC Industrial subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 04/01/2026 |
5 | MSM Q 1 Deep Dive Organizational Overhaul Disrupts Growth, Margin Initiatives Take Hold | 04/02/2026 |
6 | Richardson Electronics Reports Earnings Tomorrow What To Expect | 04/07/2026 |
7 | Assessing Whether MSC Industrial Direct Shares Look Overvalued After Their Recent 13 percent Gain | 04/21/2026 |
| MSC Industrial dividend paid on 22nd of April 2026 | 04/22/2026 |
8 | Q 3 EPS Estimates for MSC Industrial Direct Raised by Key Corp - Market Beat | 04/28/2026 |
9 | Grainger Set to Report Q 1 Earnings Whats in Store for the Stock | 05/05/2026 |
Performance Related Modules
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 9,404 in MSC Industrial Direct on February 5, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 897.00 , a return of 9.54% over 90 days. MSC Industrial Direct is generating a 0.1613% daily return assuming volatility of 1.85% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, MSC Industrial exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 84% of comparable stocks, and MSM delivers lower expected returns than 97% of comparable equities over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
For MSC Industrial Stock, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful forecasting baseline. Investors have relied on this tendency for decades, though persistent mispricings in some instruments suggest additional risk factors.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 103.01 | 90 days | 103.01 | about 1.32 % |
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of MSC Industrial moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 1.32 %. Over this horizon, the return distribution for this stock has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The curve highlights the price band where the market has recently concentrated expectations for MSC Industrial Stock over the next 90 days). A narrower shape indicates the market has recently priced MSC Industrial Stock into a more concentrated outcome range.
MSC Industrial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MSC Industrial
A variety of analytical techniques are available for forecasting MSC Industrial Direct and the broader stock market. From technical pattern analysis to statistical models, each method contributes a different perspective on MSC Industrial Direct.The mean reversion principle applied to MSC Industrial's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Identifying the root cause of MSC Industrial's price dislocation is essential before acting on a mean reversion signal.
Primary Risk Indicators
The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the stock market, with MSC Industrial experiencing notable price swings. MSC Industrial has reflected this volatile environment with periods of significant price swings.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0431 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Alerts and suggestions for MSC Industrial give investors a structured way to monitor the stock for material events. MSC Industrial Direct alerts cover shifts in fundamentals, technical conditions, and significant market-moving events.| About 19.0% of MSM outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 22nd of April 2026 MSC Industrial paid $ 0.87 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Grainger Set to Report Q 1 Earnings Whats in Store for the Stock |
Price Density Drivers
Price behavior in MSC Industrial reflects the combined effect of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market sentiment. Reviewing the indicators below provides context for understanding the current drivers of MSC Industrial price.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.89 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.23 million |
MSC Industrial Fundamentals Growth
MSC Industrial Stock performance is fundamentally tied to MSC Industrial's financial health and growth outlook. Investors track revenue and earnings growth, margin stability, and balance sheet health for MSC Industrial Stock.
| Current Valuation | 6.16 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 55.83 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.72 X | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Benchmark comparison for MSC Industrial clarifies whether returns reflect stock-specific outcomes or market-wide trends. Relative ranking across peers strengthens context when comparing performance over matching windows. MSC Industrial shows ROE of 15.0%, ROA of 8.24% (TTM) vs 9.6% (last reported).
MSC Industrial Direct figures are aggregated from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Where analyst coverage exists, consensus estimates are factored in. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board