Msc Industrial Direct Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MSM Stock | USD 85.41 1.28 1.52% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding MSC Industrial Direct is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of MSC Industrial's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out MSC Industrial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as MSC and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. MSC Industrial Direct. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
MSC |
Execute MSC Industrial Buy or Sell Advice
The MSC recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MSC Industrial Direct. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MSC Industrial Direct or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MSC Industrial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
MSC Industrial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: ClearSign Technologies Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenue Rise YY |
MSC Industrial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of MSC Industrial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MSC Industrial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MSC Industrial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MSC Industrial Direct price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MSC Industrial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MSC Industrial.
| Mean Return | 0.11 | Value At Risk | -2.68 | Potential Upside | 3.08 | Standard Deviation | 2.05 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MSC Industrial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
MSC Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as MSC Industrial, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MSC Industrial Direct back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 826.9 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 820.3 K | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2024-09-30 | 794 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 765.6 K | Newsouth Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 715.1 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 681.3 K | Disciplined Growth Investors Inc | 2024-09-30 | 641.8 K | Old Republic International Corp | 2024-09-30 | 565.2 K | Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 562 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 5.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4.6 M |
MSC Industrial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 16.5M | (107.0M) | (81.5M) | (4.9M) | 85.1M | 89.4M | |
| Change In Cash | 92.9M | (84.7M) | 3.0M | 6.5M | (20.5M) | (19.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 349.7M | 170.7M | 184.8M | 607.1M | 311.3M | 185.3M | |
| Depreciation | 69.1M | 68.8M | 70.4M | 75.1M | 82.9M | 42.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 34.5M | 73.7M | 16.9M | 31.9M | 11.6M | 9.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 444.2M | 362.7M | 167.4M | 176.7M | 187.3M | 138.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 47.0M | 53.7M | 61.4M | 92.5M | 99.4M | 104.4M | |
| Net Income | 251.8M | 217.9M | 340.5M | 343.1M | 256.0M | 189.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 125.2M | 40.5M | 43.5M | 50.1M | 29.6M | 58.6M | |
| Net Borrowings | 174.0M | 186.5M | 7.0M | (342.2M) | (308.0M) | (292.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 145.0M | 78.9M | 47.6M | 57.1M | 65.7M | 45.5M | |
| Investments | (49.3M) | (75.7M) | (94.5M) | (112.7M) | (123.4M) | (117.2M) |
MSC Industrial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MSC Industrial or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MSC Industrial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MSC stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0094 |
MSC Industrial Volatility Alert
MSC Industrial Direct has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.96 and kurtosis of 2.84. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MSC Industrial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MSC Industrial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.MSC Industrial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing MSC Industrial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MSC Industrial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MSC Industrial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MSC Industrial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MSC Industrial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MSC Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare MSC Industrial to competition |
| Fundamentals | MSC Industrial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.1 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.31 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 55.9 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 20.91 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 83.29 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.78 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 25.21 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.43 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.82 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.64 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 451.03 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 255.96 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 50.05 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.78 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 568.17 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.63 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.13 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 24.90 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 410.7 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.07 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.58 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.41 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 82.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 7.19 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.83 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.77 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.46 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 456.85 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 582.66 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 900 shares by Philip Peller of MSC Industrial at 89.0711 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
MSC Industrial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MSC . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About MSC Industrial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell MSC Industrial Direct? Buying financial instruments such as MSC Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out MSC Industrial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MSC Industrial. If investors know MSC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MSC Industrial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Dividend Share 3.34 | Earnings Share 4.58 | Revenue Per Share 67.92 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
The market value of MSC Industrial Direct is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MSC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MSC Industrial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MSC Industrial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MSC Industrial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MSC Industrial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MSC Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MSC Industrial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MSC Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.