Neometals (UK) Market Value

NMT Stock   4.75  0.17  3.71%   
Neometals' market value is the price at which a share of Neometals trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Neometals investors about its performance. Neometals is trading at 4.75 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 3.71 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.58.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Neometals and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Neometals over a given investment horizon. Check out Neometals Correlation, Neometals Volatility and Neometals Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Neometals.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Neometals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Neometals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Neometals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Neometals 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Neometals' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Neometals.
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10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
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If you would invest  0.00  in Neometals on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Neometals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Neometals over 30 days. Neometals is related to or competes with Invesco Physical, Catalyst Media, Catena Media, AcadeMedia, Anglesey Mining, and Greenroc Mining. Neometals is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More

Neometals Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Neometals' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Neometals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Neometals Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Neometals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Neometals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Neometals historical prices to predict the future Neometals' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.244.779.69
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.204.109.02
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Neometals Backtested Returns

Neometals has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0209, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0209% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Neometals exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Neometals' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0409, mean deviation of 2.22, and Downside Deviation of 13.74 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.26, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Neometals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Neometals is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Neometals has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to verify Neometals' semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if Neometals performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Neometals has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Neometals time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Neometals price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Neometals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test-0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Neometals lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Neometals stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Neometals' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Neometals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Neometals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Neometals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Neometals stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Neometals stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Neometals stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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Neometals Lagged Returns

When evaluating Neometals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Neometals stock have on its future price. Neometals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Neometals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Neometals stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Neometals.
   Regressed Prices   
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Other Information on Investing in Neometals Stock

Neometals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neometals Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neometals with respect to the benefits of owning Neometals security.