Nutrien Stock Market Value
| NTR Stock | USD 46.88 0.99 2.16% |
| Symbol | Nutrien |
Nutrien Price To Book Ratio
Is Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nutrien. If investors know Nutrien will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nutrien listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Dividend Share 2.15 | Earnings Share 1.48 | Revenue Per Share 51.668 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Nutrien is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nutrien that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nutrien's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nutrien's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nutrien's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nutrien's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nutrien's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nutrien is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nutrien's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Nutrien 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nutrien's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nutrien.
| 10/23/2024 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Nutrien on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nutrien or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nutrien over 30 days. Nutrien is related to or competes with CF Industries, Intrepid Potash, Corteva, ICL Israel, Mosaic, FMC, and American Vanguard. It offers potash, nitrogen, phosphate, and sulfate products and financial solutions More
Nutrien Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nutrien's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nutrien upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.31 |
Nutrien Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nutrien's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nutrien's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nutrien historical prices to predict the future Nutrien's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0038 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.03) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nutrien's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nutrien Backtested Returns
Nutrien has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0191, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0191% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nutrien exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nutrien's Mean Deviation of 1.09, standard deviation of 1.47, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0038 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.44, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nutrien's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nutrien is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Nutrien has a negative expected return of -0.0281%. Please make sure to verify Nutrien's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and relative strength index , to decide if Nutrien performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.54 |
Good reverse predictability
Nutrien has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nutrien time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nutrien price movement. The serial correlation of -0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Nutrien price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.54 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.78 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.38 |
Nutrien lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Nutrien stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nutrien's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nutrien returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nutrien has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Nutrien regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nutrien stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nutrien stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nutrien stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Nutrien Lagged Returns
When evaluating Nutrien's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nutrien stock have on its future price. Nutrien autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nutrien autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nutrien stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nutrien.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Nutrien
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Nutrien position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Nutrien will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Nutrien Stock
| 0.74 | AVD | American Vanguard | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | LVRO | Lavoro Limited Class | PairCorr |
| 0.35 | NITO | N2OFF Inc Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | BIOX | Bioceres Crop Solutions | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Nutrien could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Nutrien when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Nutrien - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Nutrien to buy it.
The correlation of Nutrien is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Nutrien moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Nutrien moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Nutrien can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Nutrien Stock Analysis
When running Nutrien's price analysis, check to measure Nutrien's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nutrien is operating at the current time. Most of Nutrien's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nutrien's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nutrien's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nutrien to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.