Ammo Inc Stock Market Value
| POWW Stock | USD 1.73 0.15 9.49% |
| Symbol | Ammo |
Is Leisure Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ammo. If investors know Ammo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ammo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ammo Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ammo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ammo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ammo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ammo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ammo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ammo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ammo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ammo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Ammo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ammo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ammo.
| 01/01/2025 |
| 01/31/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ammo on January 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ammo Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ammo over 30 days. Ammo is related to or competes with Sturm Ruger, Kratos Defense, VSE, Smith Wesson, Park Electrochemical, Ammo Preferred, and National Presto. AMMO, Inc. designs, produces, and markets ammunition and ammunition component products for sport and recreational shoote... More
Ammo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ammo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ammo Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.93 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1658 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.59 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.15) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.49 |
Ammo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ammo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ammo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ammo historical prices to predict the future Ammo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1649 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.7825 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.356 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1933 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.15 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ammo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ammo Inc Backtested Returns
Ammo appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Ammo Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Ammo's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.75% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Ammo's Downside Deviation of 3.93, mean deviation of 3.56, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1649 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Ammo holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.74, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ammo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ammo is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Ammo's semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Ammo's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.76 |
Good predictability
Ammo Inc has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ammo time series from 1st of January 2025 to 16th of January 2025 and 16th of January 2025 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ammo Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Ammo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.76 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.43 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Ammo Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ammo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ammo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ammo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ammo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ammo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ammo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ammo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ammo stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ammo Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ammo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ammo stock have on its future price. Ammo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ammo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ammo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ammo Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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When running Ammo's price analysis, check to measure Ammo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ammo is operating at the current time. Most of Ammo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ammo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ammo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ammo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.