Smith Micro Software Stock Market Value
| SMSI Stock | USD 0.46 0.02 4.55% |
| Symbol | Smith |
Is there potential for Application Software market expansion? Will Smith introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smith Micro. If investors know Smith will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Smith Micro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | Earnings Share (1.07) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Smith Micro Software using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Smith Micro's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Smith Micro's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smith Micro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smith Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Smith Micro's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Smith Micro 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Smith Micro's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Smith Micro.
| 11/23/2025 |
| 02/21/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Smith Micro on November 23, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Smith Micro Software or generate 0.0% return on investment in Smith Micro over 90 days. Smith Micro is related to or competes with Shopify, Uber Technologies, Applovin Corp, Micron Technology, ServiceNow, International Business, and Cisco Systems. Smith Micro Software, Inc. develops and sells software to enhance the mobile experience to wireless and cable service pr... More
Smith Micro Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Smith Micro's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Smith Micro Software upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.55 |
Smith Micro Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Smith Micro's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Smith Micro's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Smith Micro historical prices to predict the future Smith Micro's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.56) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.69) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.15) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Smith Micro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Smith Micro February 21, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.14) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (925.49) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.41 | |||
| Variance | 11.65 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.56) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.69) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.55 | |||
| Skewness | (0.21) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.3835 |
Smith Micro Software Backtested Returns
Smith Micro Software owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which indicates the firm had a -0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Smith Micro Software exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Smith Micro's Coefficient Of Variation of (925.49), risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Variance of 11.65 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 2.5, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Smith Micro will likely underperform. At this point, Smith Micro Software has a negative expected return of -0.38%. Please make sure to validate Smith Micro's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if Smith Micro Software performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.48 |
Average predictability
Smith Micro Software has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Smith Micro time series from 23rd of November 2025 to 7th of January 2026 and 7th of January 2026 to 21st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Smith Micro Software price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Smith Micro price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| FSLY | Fastly Class A | |
| MOB | Mobilicom Limited American | |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | |
| CSAN | Cosan SA ADR | |
| RKT | Rocket Companies |
Check out Smith Micro Correlation, Smith Micro Volatility and Smith Micro Performance module to complement your research on Smith Micro. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Smith Micro technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.