Smith Micro Software Stock Technical Analysis
| SMSI Stock | USD 0.49 0.02 3.92% |
As of the 14th of February 2026, Smith Micro has the Coefficient Of Variation of (849.49), variance of 10.24, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Smith Micro Software, as well as the relationship between them.
Smith Micro Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Smith, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SmithSmith Micro's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Smith Micro Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 4.5 | Strong Buy | 3 | Odds |
Most Smith analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Smith stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Smith Micro Software, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Smith conference calls.
Is there potential for Application Software market expansion? Will Smith introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smith Micro. If investors know Smith will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Smith Micro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | Earnings Share (1.07) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Smith Micro Software using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Smith Micro's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Smith Micro's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smith Micro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smith Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Smith Micro's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Smith Micro 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Smith Micro's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Smith Micro.
| 11/16/2025 |
| 02/14/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Smith Micro on November 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Smith Micro Software or generate 0.0% return on investment in Smith Micro over 90 days. Smith Micro is related to or competes with ConnectM Technology, CXApp, Alpha Modus, Wellchange Holdings, Hub Cyber, Amesite Operating, and Banzai International. Smith Micro Software, Inc. develops and sells software to enhance the mobile experience to wireless and cable service pr... More
Smith Micro Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Smith Micro's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Smith Micro Software upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.4 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.08 |
Smith Micro Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Smith Micro's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Smith Micro's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Smith Micro historical prices to predict the future Smith Micro's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.62) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.16) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Smith Micro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Smith Micro February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.15) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.57 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (849.49) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Variance | 10.24 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.62) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.4 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.08 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1058 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.11) |
Smith Micro Software Backtested Returns
Smith Micro Software owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0859, which indicates the firm had a -0.0859 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Smith Micro Software exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Smith Micro's Variance of 10.24, coefficient of variation of (849.49), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 2.41, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Smith Micro will likely underperform. At this point, Smith Micro Software has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to validate Smith Micro's information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Smith Micro Software performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.69 |
Good predictability
Smith Micro Software has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Smith Micro time series from 16th of November 2025 to 31st of December 2025 and 31st of December 2025 to 14th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Smith Micro Software price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Smith Micro price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.69 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.61 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Smith Micro technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Smith Micro Software Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Smith Micro Software across different markets.
About Smith Micro Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Smith Micro Software on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smith Micro Software based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Smith Micro Software price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Smith Micro Software. By analyzing Smith Micro's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Smith Micro's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Smith Micro specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 7.36E-4 | 6.99E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.91 | 0.86 |
Smith Micro February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Smith help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smith from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Smith charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.15) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.57 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (849.49) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Variance | 10.24 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.62) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.4 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.08 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1058 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.11) |
Smith Micro February 14, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Smith stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3,429 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.67) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | ||
| Day Median Price | 0.50 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 0.49 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) |
Complementary Tools for Smith Stock analysis
When running Smith Micro's price analysis, check to measure Smith Micro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smith Micro is operating at the current time. Most of Smith Micro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smith Micro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smith Micro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smith Micro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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