Toast Inc Stock Market Value
| TOST Stock | USD 43.00 0.26 0.61% |
| Symbol | Toast |
Toast Inc Price To Book Ratio
Is Transaction & Payment Processing Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toast. If investors know Toast will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toast listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.09) | Revenue Per Share 8.446 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.265 | Return On Assets (0.01) | Return On Equity (0.04) |
The market value of Toast Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toast that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toast's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toast's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toast's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toast's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toast's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toast is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toast's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Toast 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Toast's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Toast.
| 05/30/2024 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Toast on May 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Toast Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Toast over 180 days. Toast is related to or competes with Palo Alto, Zscaler, Cloudflare, Okta, Adobe Systems, Crowdstrike Holdings, and Palantir Technologies. Toast, Inc. operates a cloud-based and digital technology platform for the restaurant industry in the United States and ... More
Toast Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Toast's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Toast Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2942 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.36 |
Toast Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Toast's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Toast's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Toast historical prices to predict the future Toast's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2675 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.7721 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.504 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3663 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.6829 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Toast's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Toast Inc Backtested Returns
Toast appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Toast Inc owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.35, which indicates the firm had a 0.35% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Toast's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.98% is justified by implied risk. Please review Toast's Semi Deviation of 1.4, risk adjusted performance of 0.2675, and Coefficient Of Variation of 293.64 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Toast holds a performance score of 27. The entity has a beta of 1.37, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Toast will likely underperform. Please check Toast's downside variance, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Toast's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.09 |
Virtually no predictability
Toast Inc has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Toast time series from 30th of May 2024 to 28th of August 2024 and 28th of August 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Toast Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Toast price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.09 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 30.48 |
Toast Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Toast stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Toast's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Toast returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Toast has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Toast regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Toast stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Toast stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Toast stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Toast Lagged Returns
When evaluating Toast's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Toast stock have on its future price. Toast autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Toast autocorrelation shows the relationship between Toast stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Toast Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for Toast Stock Analysis
When running Toast's price analysis, check to measure Toast's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toast is operating at the current time. Most of Toast's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toast's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toast's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toast to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.