XP Factory (UK) Market Value

XPF Stock   12.75  0.75  6.25%   
XP Factory's market value is the price at which a share of XP Factory trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of XP Factory PLC investors about its performance. XP Factory is trading at 12.75 as of the 26th of December 2025, a 6.25 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 12.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of XP Factory PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in XP Factory over a given investment horizon. Check out XP Factory Correlation, XP Factory Volatility and XP Factory Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on XP Factory.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between XP Factory's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XP Factory is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XP Factory's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

XP Factory 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to XP Factory's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of XP Factory.
0.00
11/26/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in XP Factory on November 26, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding XP Factory PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in XP Factory over 30 days. XP Factory is related to or competes with Software Circle, Vitec Software, Cognizant Technology, Mobilezone Holding, Pfeiffer Vacuum, Oxford Technology, and Cizzle Biotechnology. XP Factory is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More

XP Factory Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure XP Factory's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess XP Factory PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

XP Factory Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for XP Factory's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as XP Factory's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use XP Factory historical prices to predict the future XP Factory's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2912.7715.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.8710.3512.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4013.8816.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
000
Details

XP Factory PLC Backtested Returns

XP Factory PLC retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0239, which attests that the company had a -0.0239 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. XP Factory exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out XP Factory's market risk adjusted performance of 0.2013, and Information Ratio of (0.05) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.26, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning XP Factory are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, XP Factory is likely to outperform the market. At this point, XP Factory PLC has a negative expected return of -0.0592%. Please make sure to check out XP Factory's coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if XP Factory PLC performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

XP Factory PLC has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between XP Factory time series from 26th of November 2025 to 11th of December 2025 and 11th of December 2025 to 26th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of XP Factory PLC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current XP Factory price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.89

XP Factory PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is XP Factory stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting XP Factory's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of XP Factory returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that XP Factory has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

XP Factory regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If XP Factory stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if XP Factory stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in XP Factory stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

XP Factory Lagged Returns

When evaluating XP Factory's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of XP Factory stock have on its future price. XP Factory autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, XP Factory autocorrelation shows the relationship between XP Factory stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in XP Factory PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in XPF Stock

XP Factory financial ratios help investors to determine whether XPF Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XPF with respect to the benefits of owning XP Factory security.