XP Factory (UK) Price Patterns
| XPF Stock | 12.50 0.75 6.38% |
Momentum 75
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.01) | Wall Street Target Price 20 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.133 |
Using XP Factory hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XP Factory PLC from the perspective of XP Factory response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in XP Factory to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying XPF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
XP Factory after-hype prediction price | GBX 12.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
XPF |
XP Factory After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of XP Factory at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XP Factory or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XP Factory, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
XP Factory Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting XP Factory's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XP Factory's historical news coverage. XP Factory's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.82 and 15.08, respectively. We have considered XP Factory's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
XP Factory is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XP Factory PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
XP Factory Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XP Factory is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XP Factory backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XP Factory, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.63 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.50 | 12.45 | 0.40 |
|
XP Factory Hype Timeline
XP Factory PLC is at this time traded for 12.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.22. XPF is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.45. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on XP Factory is about 240.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.72. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.0. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. XP Factory PLC recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 73:72 split on the 4th of November 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out XP Factory Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.XP Factory Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to XP Factory's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XP Factory's future price movements. Getting to know how XP Factory's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XP Factory may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RMV | Rightmove PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 1.50 | (2.28) | 8.62 | |
| 0LOZ | VeriSign | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.89 | (2.08) | 14.45 | |
| BVXP | Bioventix | 50.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.94 | (3.68) | 11.90 | |
| TRU | Trufin PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.08 | 3.48 | (2.14) | 8.09 | |
| GAW | Games Workshop Group | (59.69) | 7 per month | 1.13 | 0.03 | 2.15 | (2.33) | 17.22 | |
| 0R4M | Lundin Gold | (0.47) | 6 per month | 4.13 | 0.01 | 4.59 | (7.51) | 14.73 | |
| MTC | Mothercare PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.84 | (7.34) | 26.53 | |
| AUTO | Auto Trader Group | 20.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.49) | 1.46 | (3.41) | 8.63 | |
| AJB | AJ Bell plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.03 | (2.65) | 11.78 |
XP Factory Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XPF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XPF using various technical indicators. When you analyze XPF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About XP Factory Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of XP Factory stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as XP Factory PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of XP Factory based on analysis of XP Factory hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to XP Factory's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to XP Factory's related companies.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Complementary Tools for XPF Stock analysis
When running XP Factory's price analysis, check to measure XP Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XP Factory is operating at the current time. Most of XP Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XP Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XP Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XP Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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