Xponential Fitness Stock Forward View
| XPOF Stock | USD 8.95 1.01 12.72% |
Xponential Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Xponential Fitness' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of Xponential Fitness' stock price is roughly 62. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 2nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Xponential, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.162 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4979 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8664 | Wall Street Target Price 10.9 |
Using Xponential Fitness hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xponential Fitness from the perspective of Xponential Fitness response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Xponential Fitness using Xponential Fitness' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Xponential using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Xponential Fitness' stock price.
Xponential Fitness Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Xponential Fitness' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Xponential. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Xponential Fitness stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 8.1818 | Short Percent 0.1897 | Short Ratio 11.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 6 M | 50 Day MA 7.5728 |
Xponential Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xponential Fitness on the next trading day is expected to be 9.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.65.Xponential Fitness Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Xponential Fitness' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Xponential. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Xponential can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Xponential Fitness. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Xponential Fitness' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Xponential Fitness.
Xponential Fitness Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
Xponential Fitness' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xponential Fitness stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xponential Fitness' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xponential Fitness stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xponential Fitness' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xponential Fitness on the next trading day is expected to be 9.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.65. Xponential Fitness after-hype prediction price | USD 7.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xponential | Build AI portfolio with Xponential Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Xponential Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Xponential Fitness' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Xponential Fitness' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Xponential Fitness stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Xponential Fitness' open interest, investors have to compare it to Xponential Fitness' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Xponential Fitness is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Xponential. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Xponential Fitness Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xponential price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xponential using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xponential charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Xponential Fitness Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Xponential Fitness' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 21.7 M | Current Value 41.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 11.6 M |
Xponential Fitness Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xponential Fitness on the next trading day is expected to be 9.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xponential Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xponential Fitness' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Xponential Fitness Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Xponential Fitness | Xponential Fitness Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Xponential Fitness Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Xponential Fitness' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xponential Fitness' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.43 and 12.66, respectively. We have considered Xponential Fitness' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xponential Fitness stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xponential Fitness stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6048 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2401 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0328 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.6481 |
Predictive Modules for Xponential Fitness
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xponential Fitness. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xponential Fitness After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xponential Fitness at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xponential Fitness or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xponential Fitness, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xponential Fitness Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xponential Fitness' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xponential Fitness' historical news coverage. Xponential Fitness' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.37 and 11.59, respectively. We have considered Xponential Fitness' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xponential Fitness is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xponential Fitness is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xponential Fitness Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xponential Fitness is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xponential Fitness backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xponential Fitness, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 3.61 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.95 | 7.98 | 0.50 |
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Xponential Fitness Hype Timeline
Xponential Fitness is at this time traded for 8.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Xponential is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Xponential Fitness is about 3504.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.99. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 320.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (98.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 214.48 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xponential Fitness to cross-verify your projections.Xponential Fitness Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xponential Fitness' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xponential Fitness' future price movements. Getting to know how Xponential Fitness' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xponential Fitness may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FNKO | Funko Inc | (0.06) | 10 per month | 2.98 | 0.09 | 10.69 | (5.35) | 20.38 | |
| FLWS | 1 800 FLOWERSCOM | 0.33 | 10 per month | 4.12 | 0.05 | 7.67 | (7.38) | 43.73 | |
| JAKK | JAKKS Pacific | 0.27 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.74 | (4.54) | 11.05 | |
| TWNP | Twin Hospitality Group | (0.08) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.42) | 6.74 | (27.03) | 47.23 | |
| LANV | Lanvin Group Holdings | 0.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.54 | (8.10) | 21.80 | |
| CHPT | ChargePoint Holdings | 0.11 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.83 | (6.84) | 31.33 | |
| SEV | Aptera Motors Corp | 0.1 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 8.79 | (14.25) | 51.99 | |
| GDHG | Golden Heaven Group | 0.40 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 6.83 | (9.24) | 33.65 | |
| ESCA | Escalade Incorporated | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.52 | 0.15 | 4.25 | (2.70) | 12.43 | |
| BARK | BARK Inc | (0.01) | 9 per month | 3.06 | 0.03 | 10.61 | (5.71) | 30.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Xponential Fitness
For every potential investor in Xponential, whether a beginner or expert, Xponential Fitness' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xponential Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xponential. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xponential Fitness' price trends.Xponential Fitness Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xponential Fitness stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xponential Fitness could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xponential Fitness by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Xponential Fitness Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xponential Fitness stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xponential Fitness shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xponential Fitness stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Xponential Fitness entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Xponential Fitness Risk Indicators
The analysis of Xponential Fitness' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xponential Fitness' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xponential stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.59 | |||
| Variance | 12.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.38 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Xponential Fitness
The number of cover stories for Xponential Fitness depends on current market conditions and Xponential Fitness' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xponential Fitness is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xponential Fitness' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xponential Fitness Short Properties
Xponential Fitness' future price predictability will typically decrease when Xponential Fitness' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xponential Fitness often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xponential Fitness' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xponential Fitness' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xponential Fitness to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Xponential Stock please use our How to Invest in Xponential Fitness guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Can Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry sustain growth momentum? Does Xponential have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xponential Fitness. Anticipated expansion of Xponential directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Xponential Fitness demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.72) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Xponential Fitness using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Xponential Fitness' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Xponential Fitness' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xponential Fitness' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xponential Fitness is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Xponential Fitness' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.