Applied Optoelectronics (Germany) Performance

A59 Stock   37.20  2.00  5.10%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Applied Optoelectronics holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.55, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Applied Optoelectronics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Applied Optoelectronics is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Applied Optoelectronics' jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Applied Optoelectronics' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Applied Optoelectronics are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile basic indicators, Applied Optoelectronics unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
Why Shares of Applied Optoelectronics Are Plummeting Today - The Motley Fool
11/10/2025
2
Jump Financial LLC Purchases 124,683 Shares of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. AAOI - MarketBeat
12/10/2025
3
Applied Optoelectronics Further Share Price Appreciation In Store Due To AI - Seeking Alpha
12/30/2025
4
Applied Optoelectronics Shares Up 8.3 percent - Time to Buy - MarketBeat
01/02/2026
5
Applied Optoelectronics Valuation After 800G Hyperscale Order And Growing AI Data Center Interest - simplywall.st
01/06/2026
6
Is Applied Optoelectronics Stock a Buy or Sell After the Chief Legal Officer Dumped Over 12,000 Shares - AOL.com
01/09/2026
7
Applied Optoelectronics Shares Up 6.5 percent - Time to Buy - MarketBeat
01/15/2026
8
Murry, Applied Optoelectronics CFO, sells 2310 in shares - Investing.com
01/20/2026
9
Applied Optoelectronics Shares Drop Amid Market Activitie - GuruFocus
01/29/2026
  

Applied Optoelectronics Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,700  in Applied Optoelectronics on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,220  from holding Applied Optoelectronics or generate 45.19% return on investment over 90 days. Applied Optoelectronics is generating 0.942% of daily returns and assumes 8.0594% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 72% of stocks are less volatile than Applied, and 82% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Applied Optoelectronics is expected to generate 10.77 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 10.77 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Applied Optoelectronics Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Applied Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 37.20 90 days 37.20 
roughly 2.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Applied Optoelectronics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.95 (This Applied Optoelectronics probability density function shows the probability of Applied Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Applied Optoelectronics has a beta of 0.55. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Applied Optoelectronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Applied Optoelectronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Applied Optoelectronics has an alpha of 0.8503, implying that it can generate a 0.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Applied Optoelectronics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Applied Optoelectronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Applied Optoelectronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Applied Optoelectronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.3442.4050.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.5229.5843.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.7441.8049.86
Details

Applied Optoelectronics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Applied Optoelectronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Applied Optoelectronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Applied Optoelectronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Applied Optoelectronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.85
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.55
σ
Overall volatility
5.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Applied Optoelectronics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Applied Optoelectronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Applied Optoelectronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Applied Optoelectronics is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Applied Optoelectronics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 249.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (186.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 123.7 M.
Applied Optoelectronics generates negative cash flow from operations
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Applied Optoelectronics Shares Drop Amid Market Activitie - GuruFocus

Applied Optoelectronics Fundamentals Growth

Applied Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Applied Optoelectronics, and Applied Optoelectronics fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Applied Stock performance.

About Applied Optoelectronics Performance

Assessing Applied Optoelectronics' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Applied Optoelectronics' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Applied Optoelectronics is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Applied Optoelectronics is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on STU exchange.

Things to note about Applied Optoelectronics performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Applied Optoelectronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Applied Optoelectronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Applied Optoelectronics is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Applied Optoelectronics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 249.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (186.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 123.7 M.
Applied Optoelectronics generates negative cash flow from operations
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Applied Optoelectronics Shares Drop Amid Market Activitie - GuruFocus
Evaluating Applied Optoelectronics' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Applied Optoelectronics' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Applied Optoelectronics' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Applied Optoelectronics' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Applied Optoelectronics' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Applied Optoelectronics' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Applied Optoelectronics' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Applied Optoelectronics' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Applied Optoelectronics' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Applied Optoelectronics' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Applied Optoelectronics' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Applied Stock Analysis

When running Applied Optoelectronics' price analysis, check to measure Applied Optoelectronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Optoelectronics is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Optoelectronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Optoelectronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Optoelectronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Optoelectronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.